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Dalton Kincaid

Pos: TE1 Team: BUF YoE: 3
Draft: RD 1, PICK 25
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Kincaid failed to clear 13.1 fantasy points in a single game last season, which is pretty hard to believe when you consider he handled a 20.3% target share (5.8 per game) in a Josh Allen-led offense that averaged 3.6 touchdowns per game (the highest ever by an Allen offense). Kincaid got seven-plus targets in six of 13 regular-season games, but never cleared 53 yards in a single outing and found the end zone only twice. He finished 15th at tight end in targets despite four missed games, but was 26th in catches and 28th in yards thanks to an ugly 59% catch rate and 6.0 YPT. Kincaid's pedigree (2023 first-rounder), heavy usage and the strong Buffalo offense provide hope for a Year 3 leap, but he's risky after such an underwhelming 2024. Consider him a fringe TE1."


"Kincaid secured two of three targets for 37 yards before being forced out of Sunday's divisional loss in the third quarter. He appears to be dealing with an injury severe enough to keep him sidelined Week 11 versus the Buccaneers and potentially longer, though the Bills haven't yet provided an estimated timetable for third-year pro's recovery. Kincaid has emerged as one of Josh Allen's clear top targets in the passing game alongside wide receiver Khalil Shakir, and any missed games on his part will thrust Dawson Knox and Jackson Hawes into expanded roles at tight end."

Dalton Kincaid's receiving yards have increased by 77.1% over the past 6 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's target share has decreased by 27.32% over the past 16 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's receiving touchdowns have increased by 300.0% over the past 14 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's targets have decreased by 36.36% over the past 16 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's receptions have increased by 30.0% over the past 6 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

TGT

REC

YD

TD

FUM

YPA

TGT SHARE

2025

10

BUF

13 - 30

MIA

3.0

2.0

37.0

0.0

0.0

12.33

0.075

2025

9

KC

21 - 28

BUF

6.0

6.0

101.0

1.0

0.0

16.83

0.231

2025

8

BUF

40 - 9

CAR

3.0

1.0

23.0

0.0

0.0

7.67

0.13

2025

5

NE

23 - 20

BUF

6.0

6.0

108.0

0.0

0.0

18.0

0.194

2025

4

NO

19 - 31

BUF

2.0

1.0

28.0

1.0

0.0

14.0

0.091

2025

3

MIA

21 - 31

BUF

6.0

5.0

66.0

1.0

0.0

11.0

0.214

2025

2

BUF

30 - 10

NYJ

6.0

4.0

37.0

0.0

0.0

6.17

0.222

2025

1

BAL

40 - 41

BUF

4.0

4.0

48.0

1.0

0.0

12.0

0.087

2024

17

NYJ

14 - 40

BUF

2.0

2.0

24.0

0.0

0.0

12.0

0.071

2024

16

NE

21 - 24

BUF

7.0

4.0

15.0

0.0

0.0

2.14

0.241

2024

15

BUF

48 - 42

DET

7.0

4.0

53.0

0.0

0.0

7.57

0.206

2024

10

BUF

30 - 20

IND

5.0

2.0

24.0

0.0

0.0

4.8

0.135

2024

9

MIA

27 - 30

BUF

10.0

4.0

32.0

0.0

0.0

3.2

0.256

2024

8

BUF

31 - 10

SEA

7.0

4.0

31.0

1.0

0.0

4.43

0.206

2024

7

TEN

10 - 34

BUF

6.0

3.0

52.0

0.0

0.0

8.67

0.182

2024

6

BUF

23 - 20

NYJ

7.0

6.0

51.0

0.0

0.0

7.29

0.28

2024

5

BUF

20 - 23

HOU

6.0

2.0

34.0

0.0

0.0

5.67

0.2

2024

4

BUF

10 - 35

BAL

7.0

5.0

47.0

0.0

0.0

6.71

0.226

2024

3

JAX

10 - 47

BUF

5.0

3.0

41.0

1.0

0.0

8.2

0.161

2024

2

BUF

31 - 10

MIA

4.0

4.0

33.0

0.0

0.0

8.25

0.211

2024

1

ARI

28 - 34

BUF

2.0

1.0

11.0

0.0

0.0

5.5

0.087

2023

18

BUF

21 - 14

MIA

8.0

7.0

84.0

0.0

0.0

10.5

0.211

2023

17

NE

21 - 27

BUF

7.0

4.0

87.0

0.0

0.0

12.43

0.233

2023

16

BUF

24 - 22

LAC

2.0

1.0

7.0

0.0

0.0

3.5

0.095

2023

15

DAL

10 - 31

BUF

2.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.133

2023

14

BUF

20 - 17

KC

8.0

5.0

21.0

0.0

0.0

2.62

0.19

2023

12

BUF

34 - 37

PHI

6.0

5.0

38.0

0.0

0.0

6.33

0.118

2023

11

NYJ

6 - 32

BUF

7.0

6.0

46.0

0.0

0.0

6.57

0.219

2023

10

DEN

24 - 22

BUF

6.0

5.0

51.0

1.0

0.0

8.5

0.231

2023

9

BUF

18 - 24

CIN

11.0

10.0

81.0

0.0

1.0

7.36

0.289

2023

8

TB

18 - 24

BUF

7.0

5.0

65.0

1.0

0.0

9.29

0.175

2023

7

BUF

25 - 29

NE

8.0

8.0

75.0

0.0

0.0

9.38

0.195

2023

5

JAX

25 - 20

BUF

2.0

2.0

19.0

0.0

0.0

9.5

0.05

2023

4

MIA

20 - 48

BUF

5.0

4.0

27.0

0.0

0.0

5.4

0.2

2023

3

BUF

37 - 3

WSH

2.0

2.0

3.0

0.0

0.0

1.5

0.062

2023

2

LV

10 - 38

BUF

6.0

5.0

43.0

0.0

0.0

7.17

0.162

2023

1

BUF

16 - 22

NYJ

4.0

4.0

26.0

0.0

0.0

6.5

0.098