NFL Prophet
NFL Prophet About >> Weekly Predictions >> Playoff Odds >> Fantasy Projections >> Previous Matchups

Aaron Jones

Pos: RB1 Team: MIN YoE: 8
Draft: RD 5, PICK 182
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Jones re-signed with Minnesota after a successful 2024 campaign, in which he appeared in all 17 regular-season games and ranked top 10 among RBs in carries, targets, touches and yards. Jones, who played a career-high 64% of the offensive snaps, was effective as a rusher and receiver but had the league's worst touchdown luck (seven TDs, 12.8 expected), which limited him to a 20th-place finish in fantasy PPG. Scoring regression is a strong bet in 2025, but Jones is now 30 years old, working in a pass-first scheme and will defer work (perhaps substantial work) to newcomer Jordan Mason. Jones should be viewed as a flex option."


"O'Connell specifically mentioned goal-line and short-yardage situations as areas where Mason can help, noting that the Vikings "left a lot to be desired" in those situations last year. Jones returns as the starter after signing a two-year, $20 million contract, but it sounds like he's a long shot to match last season's career highs for snaps (700), rush attempts (255) and touches (306). The only disappointment in 2024 was scoring three times on 24 carries inside the 10-yard line, with just seven total TDs (five rushing) despite playing all 17 games and recording 1,546 yards from scrimmage (his most since 2019) at rates of 4.5 yards per carry and 8.0 per catch. While ceding goal-line carries is never a good thing for fantasy value, Mason's physical presence could help the 30-year-old Jones stay healthy and maintain his strong per-touch yardage production."

Aaron Jones' targets have increased by 77.78% over the past 6 weeks.

Aaron Jones' rushing yards per attempt has decreased by 17.97% over the past 6 weeks.

Aaron Jones' rushing attempts have decreased by 29.63% over the past 12 weeks.

Aaron Jones' rushing touchdowns have increased by 200.0% over the past 14 weeks.

Aaron Jones' rushing attempt share has increased by 16.18% over the past 6 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

ATT

YD

TD

FUM

YPA

RUSH SHARE

2024

18

MIN

9 - 31

DET

10.0

45.0

0.0

0.0

4.5

0.526

2024

17

GB

25 - 27

MIN

12.0

47.0

0.0

0.0

3.92

0.462

2024

16

MIN

27 - 24

SEA

18.0

67.0

0.0

0.0

3.72

0.75

2024

15

CHI

12 - 30

MIN

18.0

86.0

1.0

0.0

4.78

0.621

2024

14

ATL

21 - 42

MIN

13.0

73.0

1.0

0.0

5.62

0.542

2024

13

ARI

22 - 23

MIN

5.0

22.0

0.0

1.0

4.4

0.333

2024

12

MIN

30 - 27

CHI

22.0

106.0

1.0

1.0

4.82

0.815

2024

11

MIN

23 - 13

TEN

15.0

39.0

0.0

0.0

2.6

0.455

2024

10

MIN

12 - 7

JAX

17.0

88.0

0.0

0.0

5.18

0.395

2024

9

IND

13 - 21

MIN

21.0

64.0

0.0

0.0

3.05

0.656

2024

8

MIN

20 - 30

LAR

19.0

58.0

0.0

0.0

3.05

0.864

2024

7

DET

31 - 29

MIN

14.0

93.0

1.0

0.0

6.64

0.667

2024

5

NYJ

17 - 23

MIN

7.0

29.0

0.0

0.0

4.14

0.233

2024

4

MIN

31 - 29

GB

22.0

93.0

0.0

0.0

4.23

0.647

2024

3

HOU

7 - 34

MIN

19.0

102.0

0.0

0.0

5.37

0.679

2024

2

SF

17 - 23

MIN

9.0

32.0

0.0

1.0

3.56

0.375

2024

1

MIN

28 - 6

NYG

14.0

94.0

1.0

0.0

6.71

0.538

2023

18

CHI

9 - 17

GB

22.0

111.0

0.0

0.0

5.05

0.815

2023

17

GB

33 - 10

MIN

20.0

120.0

0.0

0.0

6.0

0.513

2023

16

GB

33 - 30

CAR

21.0

127.0

0.0

0.0

6.05

0.618

2023

15

TB

34 - 20

GB

13.0

53.0

0.0

0.0

4.08

0.765

2023

11

LAC

20 - 23

GB

4.0

14.0

0.0

0.0

3.5

0.143

2023

10

GB

19 - 23

PIT

13.0

35.0

0.0

0.0

2.69

0.542

2023

9

LAR

3 - 20

GB

20.0

73.0

1.0

1.0

3.65

0.526

2023

8

MIN

24 - 10

GB

7.0

29.0

0.0

0.0

4.14

0.412

2023

7

GB

17 - 19

DEN

8.0

35.0

0.0

0.0

4.38

0.276

2023

4

DET

34 - 20

GB

5.0

18.0

0.0

0.0

3.6

0.417

2023

1

GB

38 - 20

CHI

9.0

41.0

1.0

0.0

4.56

0.281

2022

18

DET

20 - 16

GB

12.0

48.0

0.0

1.0

4.0

0.429

2022

17

MIN

17 - 41

GB

14.0

111.0

0.0

0.0

7.93

0.424

2022

16

GB

26 - 20

MIA

6.0

25.0

0.0

0.0

4.17

0.24

2022

15

LAR

12 - 24

GB

17.0

90.0

0.0

1.0

5.29

0.486

2022

13

GB

28 - 19

CHI

9.0

26.0

0.0

0.0

2.89

0.281

2022

12

GB

33 - 40

PHI

12.0

43.0

0.0

0.0

3.58

0.571

2022

11

TEN

27 - 17

GB

12.0

40.0

0.0

0.0

3.33

0.632

2022

10

DAL

28 - 31

GB

24.0

138.0

1.0

0.0

5.75

0.615

2022

9

GB

9 - 15

DET

9.0

25.0

0.0

0.0

2.78

0.36

2022

8

GB

17 - 27

BUF

20.0

143.0

0.0

0.0

7.15

0.645

2022

7

GB

21 - 23

WSH

8.0

23.0

0.0

0.0

2.88

0.667

2022

6

NYJ

27 - 10

GB

9.0

19.0

0.0

0.0

2.11

0.45

2022

5

NYG

27 - 22

GB

13.0

63.0

0.0

0.0

4.85

0.65

2022

4

NE

24 - 27

GB

16.0

110.0

0.0

0.0

6.88

0.457

2022

3

GB

14 - 12

TB

12.0

36.0

0.0

1.0

3.0

0.48

2022

2

CHI

10 - 27

GB

15.0

132.0

1.0

0.0

8.8

0.395

2022

1

GB

7 - 23

MIN

5.0

49.0

0.0

0.0

9.8

0.278

2021

17

MIN

10 - 37

GB

8.0

76.0

0.0

0.0

9.5

0.25

2021

16

CLE

22 - 24

GB

12.0

66.0

0.0

0.0

5.5

0.5

2021

15

GB

31 - 30

BAL

13.0

58.0

0.0

0.0

4.46

0.52

2021

14

CHI

30 - 45

GB

5.0

35.0

1.0

0.0

7.0

0.208

2021

12

LAR

28 - 36

GB

10.0

23.0

0.0

0.0

2.3

0.312

2021

10

SEA

0 - 17

GB

7.0

25.0

0.0

0.0

3.57

0.219

2021

9

GB

7 - 13

KC

12.0

53.0

0.0

0.0

4.42

0.48

2021

8

GB

24 - 21

ARI

15.0

59.0

1.0

0.0

3.93

0.441

2021

7

WSH

10 - 24

GB

6.0

19.0

0.0

0.0

3.17

0.4

2021

6

GB

24 - 14

CHI

13.0

76.0

0.0

0.0

5.85

0.419

2021

5

GB

25 - 22

CIN

14.0

103.0

0.0

0.0

7.36

0.636

2021

4

PIT

17 - 27

GB

15.0

48.0

0.0

1.0

3.2

0.455

2021

3

GB

30 - 28

SF

19.0

82.0

1.0

0.0

4.32

0.76

2021

2

DET

17 - 35

GB

17.0

67.0

1.0

0.0

3.94

0.548

2021

1

GB

3 - 38

NO

5.0

9.0

0.0

0.0

1.8

0.333