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Fantasy Projections

Dalton Kincaid

Pos: TE1 Team: BUF YoE: 3
Draft: RD 1, PICK 25
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"..."


"Nailor played a slightly larger role in the Vikings' offense in the final year of his rookie contract after having a small breakout in 2024. He posted similar numbers, however, due to a dip in efficiency. That decline was probably mostly a product of general dysfunction in a Vikings passing offense that went from sixth in the league in yards in 2024 to 29th in 2025. He'll become a free agent this offseason, and he has further demonstrated that he can at least be a credible deep threat even if he's not a very physically-imposing one."

Jalen Nailor's target share has increased by 87.31% over the past 8 weeks.

Jalen Nailor's receiving yards have decreased by 65.0% over the past 12 weeks.

Jalen Nailor's targets have increased by 60.0% over the past 6 weeks.

Jalen Nailor's total yards have decreased by 75.0+% over the past 6 weeks.

Jalen Nailor's receptions have decreased by 50.0% over the past 12 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid

Pos: TE1 Team: BUF YoE: 3
Draft: RD 1, PICK 25
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Kincaid failed to clear 13.1 fantasy points in a single game last season, which is pretty hard to believe when you consider he handled a 20.3% target share (5.8 per game) in a Josh Allen-led offense that averaged 3.6 touchdowns per game (the highest ever by an Allen offense). Kincaid got seven-plus targets in six of 13 regular-season games, but never cleared 53 yards in a single outing and found the end zone only twice. He finished 15th at tight end in targets despite four missed games, but was 26th in catches and 28th in yards thanks to an ugly 59% catch rate and 6.0 YPT. Kincaid's pedigree (2023 first-rounder), heavy usage and the strong Buffalo offense provide hope for a Year 3 leap, but he's risky after such an underwhelming 2024. Consider him a fringe TE1."


"After missing Week 17 with a knee injury, Kincaid was able to log some reps even while the Bills rested most of their other key contributors in the regular-season finale. With the team's lack of a true No. 1 wide receiver, Kincaid could be called upon to play a pivotal role in the passing game during the playoffs if Buffalo is going to make a postseason run. Kincaid posted a pair of 100-yard receiving games during his 12 appearances in the regular season but was also held under 50 yards nine times."

Dalton Kincaid's receiving yards have decreased by 53.42% over the past 6 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's target share has decreased by 30.34% over the past 8 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's targets have decreased by 23.53% over the past 8 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's receptions have decreased by 35.71% over the past 8 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's receiving touchdowns have decreased by 50.0% over the past 8 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid

Pos: TE1 Team: BUF YoE: 3
Draft: RD 1, PICK 25
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"..."


"Johnson presumably sustained the injury at some point in Sunday's 35-8 win over the Jets, but the ankle issue didn't get in the way of the veteran running back turning in his best fantasy performance of the season. With the Bills resting several key players Week 18 -- including lead back James Cook, who played just two snaps -- Johnson and fellow backup Ray Davis took full advantage of the extra opportunities afforded to them. Johnson carried 13 times for 36 yards -- both season highs -- and a touchdown and chipped in two catches for 20 yards and another score on two targets. Assuming he can move past the ankle injury in advance of Sunday's wild-card game in Jacksonville, Johnson should continue to fill an important change-of-pace role behind Cook, though Johnson likely won't come close to matching the touch volume he received in the regular-season finale."

Ty Johnson's rushing yards have increased by 200.0% over the past 8 weeks.

Ty Johnson's rushing attempts have increased by 133.33% over the past 8 weeks.

Ty Johnson's rushing attempt share has increased by 90.05% over the past 6 weeks.

Ty Johnson's targets have increased by 150.0% over the past 14 weeks.

Ty Johnson's rushing yards per attempt has decreased by 37.41% over the past 6 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

TGT

REC

YD

TD

FUM

YPA

TGT SHARE

2025

18

GB

3 - 16

MIN

3.0

3.0

49.0

0.0

0.0

16.33

0.097

2025

17

DET

10 - 23

MIN

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.062

2025

16

MIN

16 - 13

NYG

2.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.087

2025

15

MIN

34 - 26

DAL

5.0

3.0

47.0

2.0

0.0

9.4

0.208

2025

14

WSH

0 - 31

MIN

3.0

3.0

30.0

0.0

0.0

10.0

0.13

2025

13

MIN

0 - 26

SEA

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.033

2025

12

MIN

6 - 23

GB

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.053

2025

11

CHI

19 - 17

MIN

1.0

1.0

16.0

0.0

0.0

16.0

0.031

2025

10

BAL

27 - 19

MIN

6.0

5.0

124.0

1.0

0.0

20.67

0.143

2025

9

MIN

27 - 24

DET

4.0

1.0

16.0

0.0

0.0

4.0

0.16

2025

8

MIN

10 - 37

LAC

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.032

2025

7

PHI

28 - 22

MIN

4.0

2.0

37.0

0.0

0.0

9.25

0.095

2025

5

MIN

21 - 17

CLE

4.0

3.0

27.0

0.0

0.0

6.75

0.114

2025

4

MIN

21 - 24

PIT

4.0

1.0

2.0

1.0

0.0

0.5

0.087

2025

3

CIN

10 - 48

MIN

5.0

3.0

37.0

0.0

0.0

7.4

0.208

2025

2

ATL

22 - 6

MIN

5.0

3.0

31.0

0.0

0.0

6.2

0.238

2025

1

MIN

27 - 24

CHI

3.0

1.0

28.0

0.0

0.0

9.33

0.15

2024

18

MIN

9 - 31

DET

4.0

3.0

53.0

0.0

0.0

13.25

0.098

2024

17

GB

25 - 27

MIN

5.0

5.0

81.0

1.0

0.0

16.2

0.116

2024

16

MIN

27 - 24

SEA

2.0

1.0

5.0

0.0

0.0

2.5

0.057

2024

15

CHI

12 - 30

MIN

1.0

1.0

5.0

0.0

0.0

5.0

0.025

2024

14

ATL

21 - 42

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

13

ARI

22 - 23

MIN

2.0

1.0

18.0

0.0

0.0

9.0

0.065

2024

12

MIN

30 - 27

CHI

2.0

1.0

5.0

1.0

0.0

2.5

0.057

2024

11

MIN

23 - 13

TEN

2.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.062

2024

10

MIN

12 - 7

JAX

3.0

1.0

11.0

0.0

0.0

3.67

0.079

2024

9

IND

13 - 21

MIN

1.0

1.0

7.0

1.0

0.0

7.0

0.029

2024

8

MIN

20 - 30

LAR

4.0

2.0

16.0

0.0

0.0

4.0

0.16

2024

7

DET

31 - 29

MIN

5.0

4.0

76.0

0.0

0.0

15.2

0.185

2024

5

NYJ

17 - 23

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

4

MIN

31 - 29

GB

2.0

1.0

31.0

0.0

1.0

15.5

0.071

2024

3

HOU

7 - 34

MIN

4.0

3.0

31.0

1.0

0.0

7.75

0.143

2024

2

SF

17 - 23

MIN

4.0

3.0

54.0

1.0

0.0

13.5

0.154

2024

1

MIN

28 - 6

NYG

1.0

1.0

21.0

1.0

0.0

21.0

0.042

2023

14

MIN

3 - 0

LV

5.0

2.0

13.0

0.0

0.0

2.6

0.139

2023

12

CHI

12 - 10

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

11

MIN

20 - 21

DEN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

10

NO

19 - 27

MIN

1.0

1.0

16.0

0.0

0.0

16.0

0.029

2023

2

MIN

28 - 34

PHI

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

1

TB

20 - 17

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

18

MIN

29 - 13

CHI

5.0

4.0

62.0

0.0

0.0

12.4

0.152

2022

17

MIN

17 - 41

GB

3.0

3.0

89.0

1.0

0.0

29.67

0.086

2022

16

NYG

24 - 27

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

15

IND

36 - 39

MIN

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.018

2022

14

MIN

23 - 34

DET

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

13

NYJ

22 - 27

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

12

NE

26 - 33

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

11

DAL

40 - 3

MIN

3.0

1.0

15.0

0.0

0.0

5.0

0.1

2022

10

MIN

33 - 30

BUF

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

8

ARI

26 - 34

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

6

MIN

24 - 16

MIA

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

4

MIN

28 - 25

NO

1.0

1.0

13.0

0.0

0.0

13.0

0.026

2022

3

DET

24 - 28

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

2

MIN

7 - 24

PHI

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

1

GB

7 - 23

MIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

TGT

REC

YD

TD

FUM

YPA

TGT SHARE

2025

18

NYJ

8 - 35

BUF

3.0

3.0

48.0

0.0

0.0

16.0

0.103

2025

16

BUF

23 - 20

CLE

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.053

2025

15

BUF

35 - 31

NE

4.0

3.0

34.0

0.0

0.0

8.5

0.143

2025

14

CIN

34 - 39

BUF

5.0

4.0

41.0

1.0

0.0

8.2

0.179

2025

10

BUF

13 - 30

MIA

3.0

2.0

37.0

0.0

0.0

12.33

0.075

2025

9

KC

21 - 28

BUF

6.0

6.0

101.0

1.0

0.0

16.83

0.231

2025

8

BUF

40 - 9

CAR

3.0

1.0

23.0

0.0

0.0

7.67

0.13

2025

5

NE

23 - 20

BUF

6.0

6.0

108.0

0.0

0.0

18.0

0.194

2025

4

NO

19 - 31

BUF

2.0

1.0

28.0

1.0

0.0

14.0

0.091

2025

3

MIA

21 - 31

BUF

6.0

5.0

66.0

1.0

0.0

11.0

0.214

2025

2

BUF

30 - 10

NYJ

6.0

4.0

37.0

0.0

0.0

6.17

0.222

2025

1

BAL

40 - 41

BUF

4.0

4.0

48.0

1.0

0.0

12.0

0.087

2024

17

NYJ

14 - 40

BUF

2.0

2.0

24.0

0.0

0.0

12.0

0.071

2024

16

NE

21 - 24

BUF

7.0

4.0

15.0

0.0

0.0

2.14

0.241

2024

15

BUF

48 - 42

DET

7.0

4.0

53.0

0.0

0.0

7.57

0.206

2024

10

BUF

30 - 20

IND

5.0

2.0

24.0

0.0

0.0

4.8

0.135

2024

9

MIA

27 - 30

BUF

10.0

4.0

32.0

0.0

0.0

3.2

0.256

2024

8

BUF

31 - 10

SEA

7.0

4.0

31.0

1.0

0.0

4.43

0.206

2024

7

TEN

10 - 34

BUF

6.0

3.0

52.0

0.0

0.0

8.67

0.182

2024

6

BUF

23 - 20

NYJ

7.0

6.0

51.0

0.0

0.0

7.29

0.28

2024

5

BUF

20 - 23

HOU

6.0

2.0

34.0

0.0

0.0

5.67

0.2

2024

4

BUF

10 - 35

BAL

7.0

5.0

47.0

0.0

0.0

6.71

0.226

2024

3

JAX

10 - 47

BUF

5.0

3.0

41.0

1.0

0.0

8.2

0.161

2024

2

BUF

31 - 10

MIA

4.0

4.0

33.0

0.0

0.0

8.25

0.211

2024

1

ARI

28 - 34

BUF

2.0

1.0

11.0

0.0

0.0

5.5

0.087

2023

18

BUF

21 - 14

MIA

8.0

7.0

84.0

0.0

0.0

10.5

0.211

2023

17

NE

21 - 27

BUF

7.0

4.0

87.0

0.0

0.0

12.43

0.233

2023

16

BUF

24 - 22

LAC

2.0

1.0

7.0

0.0

0.0

3.5

0.095

2023

15

DAL

10 - 31

BUF

2.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.133

2023

14

BUF

20 - 17

KC

8.0

5.0

21.0

0.0

0.0

2.62

0.19

2023

12

BUF

34 - 37

PHI

6.0

5.0

38.0

0.0

0.0

6.33

0.118

2023

11

NYJ

6 - 32

BUF

7.0

6.0

46.0

0.0

0.0

6.57

0.219

2023

10

DEN

24 - 22

BUF

6.0

5.0

51.0

1.0

0.0

8.5

0.231

2023

9

BUF

18 - 24

CIN

11.0

10.0

81.0

0.0

1.0

7.36

0.289

2023

8

TB

18 - 24

BUF

7.0

5.0

65.0

1.0

0.0

9.29

0.175

2023

7

BUF

25 - 29

NE

8.0

8.0

75.0

0.0

0.0

9.38

0.195

2023

5

JAX

25 - 20

BUF

2.0

2.0

19.0

0.0

0.0

9.5

0.05

2023

4

MIA

20 - 48

BUF

5.0

4.0

27.0

0.0

0.0

5.4

0.2

2023

3

BUF

37 - 3

WSH

2.0

2.0

3.0

0.0

0.0

1.5

0.062

2023

2

LV

10 - 38

BUF

6.0

5.0

43.0

0.0

0.0

7.17

0.162

2023

1

BUF

16 - 22

NYJ

4.0

4.0

26.0

0.0

0.0

6.5

0.098


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

TGT

REC

YD

TD

FUM

YPA

TGT SHARE

2025

18

NYJ

8 - 35

BUF

2.0

2.0

20.0

1.0

0.0

10.0

0.069

2025

17

PHI

13 - 12

BUF

4.0

3.0

33.0

0.0

0.0

8.25

0.114

2025

16

BUF

23 - 20

CLE

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

15

BUF

35 - 31

NE

3.0

3.0

15.0

0.0

0.0

5.0

0.107

2025

14

CIN

34 - 39

BUF

3.0

2.0

14.0

0.0

0.0

4.67

0.107

2025

13

BUF

26 - 7

PIT

5.0

3.0

20.0

0.0

0.0

4.0

0.217

2025

12

BUF

19 - 23

HOU

3.0

3.0

45.0

0.0

0.0

15.0

0.088

2025

11

TB

32 - 44

BUF

2.0

2.0

61.0

1.0

0.0

30.5

0.067

2025

10

BUF

13 - 30

MIA

2.0

2.0

24.0

0.0

0.0

12.0

0.05

2025

9

KC

21 - 28

BUF

2.0

2.0

12.0

0.0

0.0

6.0

0.077

2025

8

BUF

40 - 9

CAR

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

6

BUF

14 - 24

ATL

2.0

1.0

11.0

0.0

0.0

5.5

0.077

2025

5

NE

23 - 20

BUF

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

4

NO

19 - 31

BUF

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0

0.0

2025

3

MIA

21 - 31

BUF

2.0

1.0

8.0

0.0

0.0

4.0

0.071

2025

2

BUF

30 - 10

NYJ

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.037

2025

1

BAL

40 - 41

BUF

2.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.043

2024

18

BUF

16 - 23

NE

2.0

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.062

2024

17

NYJ

14 - 40

BUF

1.0

1.0

9.0

0.0

0.0

9.0

0.036

2024

16

NE

21 - 24

BUF

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.034

2024

15

BUF

48 - 42

DET

5.0

5.0

114.0

0.0

0.0

22.8

0.147

2024

14

BUF

42 - 44

LAR

3.0

2.0

55.0

1.0

0.0

18.33

0.081

2024

13

SF

10 - 35

BUF

1.0

1.0

9.0

0.0

0.0

9.0

0.056

2024

11

KC

21 - 30

BUF

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.025

2024

10

BUF

30 - 20

IND

3.0

3.0

32.0

0.0

0.0

10.67

0.081

2024

9

MIA

27 - 30

BUF

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

8

BUF

31 - 10

SEA

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.029

2024

7

TEN

10 - 34

BUF

1.0

1.0

4.0

1.0

0.0

4.0

0.03

2024

6

BUF

23 - 20

NYJ

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

5

BUF

20 - 23

HOU

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

4

BUF

10 - 35

BAL

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2024

3

JAX

10 - 47

BUF

3.0

3.0

28.0

1.0

0.0

9.33

0.097

2024

2

BUF

31 - 10

MIA

2.0

1.0

33.0

0.0

0.0

16.5

0.105

2024

1

ARI

28 - 34

BUF

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.043

2023

18

BUF

21 - 14

MIA

1.0

1.0

9.0

0.0

0.0

9.0

0.026

2023

17

NE

21 - 27

BUF

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

15

DAL

10 - 31

BUF

1.0

1.0

4.0

0.0

0.0

4.0

0.067

2023

14

BUF

20 - 17

KC

2.0

2.0

2.0

0.0

0.0

1.0

0.048

2023

12

BUF

34 - 37

PHI

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

11

NYJ

6 - 32

BUF

3.0

3.0

47.0

1.0

0.0

15.67

0.094

2023

10

DEN

24 - 22

BUF

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

9

BUF

18 - 24

CIN

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

8

TB

18 - 24

BUF

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2023

7

BUF

25 - 29

NE

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

18

NYJ

6 - 11

MIA

3.0

2.0

13.0

0.0

0.0

4.33

0.091

2022

17

NYJ

6 - 23

SEA

5.0

1.0

11.0

0.0

0.0

2.2

0.109

2022

16

JAX

19 - 3

NYJ

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

15

DET

20 - 17

NYJ

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

14

NYJ

12 - 20

BUF

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

13

NYJ

22 - 27

MIN

7.0

6.0

38.0

0.0

0.0

5.43

0.121

2022

12

CHI

10 - 31

NYJ

2.0

1.0

16.0

0.0

0.0

8.0

0.069

2022

11

NYJ

3 - 10

NE

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.045

2022

9

BUF

17 - 20

NYJ

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

8

NE

22 - 17

NYJ

2.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.049

2022

7

NYJ

16 - 9

DEN

1.0

1.0

6.0

0.0

0.0

6.0

0.038

2022

6

NYJ

27 - 10

GB

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

5

MIA

17 - 40

NYJ

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

4

NYJ

24 - 20

PIT

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

3

CIN

27 - 12

NYJ

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2022

2

NYJ

31 - 30

CLE

3.0

1.0

4.0

0.0

0.0

1.33

0.067

2022

1

BAL

24 - 9

NYJ

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

18

NYJ

10 - 27

BUF

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.05

2021

17

TB

28 - 24

NYJ

4.0

3.0

47.0

0.0

0.0

11.75

0.121

2021

16

JAX

21 - 26

NYJ

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

14

NO

30 - 9

NYJ

7.0

4.0

40.0

0.0

0.0

5.71

0.167

2021

13

PHI

33 - 18

NYJ

4.0

2.0

14.0

0.0

0.0

3.5

0.105

2021

12

NYJ

21 - 14

HOU

1.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.042

2021

11

MIA

24 - 17

NYJ

1.0

1.0

8.0

0.0

0.0

8.0

0.026

2021

10

BUF

45 - 17

NYJ

8.0

5.0

36.0

0.0

0.0

4.5

0.17

2021

9

NYJ

30 - 45

IND

3.0

2.0

40.0

1.0

1.0

13.33

0.058

2021

8

CIN

31 - 34

NYJ

6.0

5.0

71.0

1.0

0.0

11.83

0.122

2021

7

NYJ

13 - 54

NE

7.0

6.0

65.0

0.0

0.0

9.29

0.167

2021

5

NYJ

20 - 27

ATL

3.0

2.0

22.0

0.0

0.0

7.33

0.094

2021

4

TEN

24 - 27

NYJ

2.0

2.0

12.0

0.0

0.0

6.0

0.059

2021

3

NYJ

0 - 26

DEN

5.0

1.0

6.0

0.0

0.0

1.2

0.143

2021

2

NE

25 - 6

NYJ

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2021

1

NYJ

14 - 19

CAR

3.0

1.0

11.0

0.0

0.0

3.67

0.081