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Dalton Kincaid

Pos: TE2 Team: BUF YoE: 3
Draft: RD 1, PICK 25
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Kincaid failed to clear 13.1 fantasy points in a single game last season, which is pretty hard to believe when you consider he handled a 20.3% target share (5.8 per game) in a Josh Allen-led offense that averaged 3.6 touchdowns per game (the highest ever by an Allen offense). Kincaid got seven-plus targets in six of 13 regular-season games, but never cleared 53 yards in a single outing and found the end zone only twice. He finished 15th at tight end in targets despite four missed games, but was 26th in catches and 28th in yards thanks to an ugly 59% catch rate and 6.0 YPT. Kincaid's pedigree (2023 first-rounder), heavy usage and the strong Buffalo offense provide hope for a Year 3 leap, but he's risky after such an underwhelming 2024. Consider him a fringe TE1."


"Kincaid's quiet AFCCG performance will be most notably remembered for his drop with just under two minutes left in the fourth quarter, a fourth-and-five play in which Josh Allen found the second-year tight end open downfield, but saw the ball lodge free of his pass-catcher's hands while attempting a diving grab. The admittedly difficult catch highlights disappointment surrounding Kincaid's production Year 2, in which he strung together just a 44-448-2 receiving line across 13 regular-season appearances. Teammate Dawson Knox said Monday that Kincaid played through injuries in both knees, including a torn PCL, per Katherine Fitzgerald of The Buffalo News, but he didn't carry an official injury designation into any of the Bills' three playoff appearances."

Dalton Kincaid's target share has decreased by 29.33% over the past 8 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's targets have decreased by 27.27% over the past 6 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's receiving yards have decreased by 30.12% over the past 8 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's receptions have decreased by 29.41% over the past 8 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's receiving yards per attempt has increased by 74.66% over the past 6 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2024

17

NYJ

14 - 40

BUF

0.452

0.548

4.4

2024

16

NE

21 - 24

BUF

0.509

0.491

5.5

2024

15

BUF

48 - 42

DET

0.5

0.5

9.3

2024

10

BUF

30 - 20

IND

0.544

0.456

4.4

2024

9

MIA

27 - 30

BUF

0.672

0.328

7.2

2024

8

BUF

31 - 10

SEA

0.5

0.5

13.1

2024

7

TEN

10 - 34

BUF

0.623

0.377

8.2

2024

6

BUF

23 - 20

NYJ

0.431

0.569

11.1

2024

5

BUF

20 - 23

HOU

0.517

0.483

5.4

2024

4

BUF

10 - 35

BAL

0.574

0.426

9.7

2024

3

JAX

10 - 47

BUF

0.517

0.483

13.1

2024

2

BUF

31 - 10

MIA

0.422

0.578

7.3

2024

1

ARI

28 - 34

BUF

0.411

0.589

2.1

2023

18

BUF

21 - 14

MIA

0.514

0.486

15.4

2023

17

NE

21 - 27

BUF

0.448

0.552

12.7

2023

16

BUF

24 - 22

LAC

0.412

0.588

1.7

2023

15

DAL

10 - 31

BUF

0.234

0.766

0.0

2023

14

BUF

20 - 17

KC

0.6

0.4

7.1

2023

12

BUF

34 - 37

PHI

0.56

0.44

8.8

2023

11

NYJ

6 - 32

BUF

0.457

0.543

10.6

2023

10

DEN

24 - 22

BUF

0.5

0.5

16.1

2023

9

BUF

18 - 24

CIN

0.704

0.296

16.1

2023

8

TB

18 - 24

BUF

0.606

0.394

17.5

2023

7

BUF

25 - 29

NE

0.631

0.369

15.5

2023

5

JAX

25 - 20

BUF

0.741

0.259

3.9

2023

4

MIA

20 - 48

BUF

0.463

0.537

6.7

2023

3

BUF

37 - 3

WSH

0.492

0.508

2.3

2023

2

LV

10 - 38

BUF

0.514

0.486

9.3

2023

1

BUF

16 - 22

NYJ

0.651

0.349

6.6