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Fantasy Projections

Jaylen Waddle

Pos: PR2, WR1 Team: MIA YoE: 5
Draft: RD 1, PICK 6
Injury Status: Q Return Date: 2026-02-09



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Waddle enters his fifth NFL season after a somewhat inexplicable down year in 2024. Granted, he wasn't fully healthy at times (and missed two games), but Waddle's target share dipped from 20%-plus during his first three seasons to 16% last season (56th among WRs). He posted career-low marks in every key category and ranked 52nd in fantasy PPG after finishing 21st or better in each of his first three seasons. Same as Tyreek Hill, Waddle seemingly suffered from Miami facing two-high safeties at a league-high rate, and with both back for 2025, we may see more of the same. Waddle has the talent to allow a bounce-back campaign (especially with Hill entering his age-31 season), but he can't be trusted as more than a WR3."


"Waddle was forced out of Sunday's win midway through the second quarter due to a ribs injury and initially listed as questionable to return, prior to which he had logged his sole carry of the day. He retook the field late in the third quarter but failed to record any further statistics, beyond being targeted once for a short incompletion with just over five minutes remaining. The performance was crushing for fantasy mangers who trusted Waddle in a crucial matchup, though he had put up a respective 5-72-0 receiving line versus the Bengals in Week 16, a game which also saw Quinn Ewers line up under center. Waddle will have one last chance to display chemistry with Ewers during the Dolphins' regular-season finale on the road at New England in Week 18."

Jaylen Waddle's receiving yards have decreased by 40.69% over the past 8 weeks.

Jaylen Waddle's target share has decreased by 17.8% over the past 6 weeks.

Jaylen Waddle's receiving touchdowns have decreased by 50.0% over the past 8 weeks.

Jaylen Waddle's receptions have decreased by 21.05% over the past 8 weeks.

Jaylen Waddle's rushing yards per attempt has increased by 100% over the past 6 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

17

TB

17 - 20

MIA

0.423

0.577

0.7

2025

16

CIN

45 - 21

MIA

0.517

0.483

12.2

2025

15

MIA

15 - 28

PIT

0.636

0.364

4.6

2025

14

MIA

34 - 10

NYJ

0.339

0.661

18.1

2025

13

NO

17 - 21

MIA

0.418

0.582

7.0

2025

11

WSH

13 - 16

MIA

0.392

0.608

8.2

2025

10

BUF

13 - 30

MIA

0.396

0.604

19.4

2025

9

BAL

28 - 6

MIA

0.667

0.333

14.2

2025

8

MIA

34 - 10

ATL

0.422

0.578

20.9

2025

7

MIA

6 - 31

CLE

0.585

0.415

2.5

2025

6

LAC

29 - 27

MIA

0.611

0.389

15.82

2025

5

MIA

24 - 27

CAR

0.72

0.28

23.0

2025

4

NYJ

21 - 27

MIA

0.446

0.554

7.8

2025

3

MIA

21 - 31

BUF

0.576

0.424

14.9

2025

2

NE

33 - 27

MIA

0.681

0.319

17.8

2025

1

MIA

8 - 33

IND

0.721

0.279

7.0

2024

18

MIA

20 - 32

NYJ

0.641

0.359

9.0

2024

15

MIA

12 - 20

HOU

0.678

0.322

0.0

2024

14

NYJ

26 - 32

MIA

0.712

0.288

18.9

2024

13

MIA

17 - 30

GB

0.767

0.233

9.3

2024

12

NE

15 - 34

MIA

0.625

0.375

28.4

2024

11

LV

19 - 34

MIA

0.581

0.419

5.7

2024

10

MIA

23 - 15

LAR

0.56

0.44

8.6

2024

9

MIA

27 - 30

BUF

0.475

0.525

7.6

2024

8

ARI

28 - 27

MIA

0.603

0.397

8.5

2024

7

MIA

10 - 16

IND

0.394

0.606

2.1

2024

5

MIA

15 - 10

NE

0.431

0.569

8.6

2024

4

TEN

31 - 12

MIA

0.423

0.577

7.6

2024

3

MIA

3 - 24

SEA

0.64

0.36

6.6

2024

2

BUF

31 - 10

MIA

0.534

0.466

8.5

2024

1

JAX

17 - 20

MIA

0.597

0.403

16.2

2023

16

DAL

20 - 22

MIA

0.587

0.413

6.2

2023

15

NYJ

0 - 30

MIA

0.481

0.519

28.2

2023

14

TEN

28 - 27

MIA

0.516

0.484

13.9

2023

13

MIA

45 - 15

WSH

0.424

0.576

10.2

2023

12

MIA

34 - 13

NYJ

0.448

0.552

19.4

2023

11

LV

13 - 20

MIA

0.582

0.418

9.5

2023

9

MIA

14 - 21

KC

0.618

0.382

8.4

2023

8

NE

17 - 31

MIA

0.634

0.366

25.1

2023

7

MIA

17 - 31

PHI

0.727

0.273

12.3

2023

6

CAR

21 - 42

MIA

0.492

0.508

18.1

2023

5

NYG

16 - 31

MIA

0.566

0.434

14.5

2023

4

MIA

20 - 48

BUF

0.648

0.352

8.6

2023

2

MIA

24 - 17

NE

0.5

0.5

12.4

2023

1

MIA

36 - 34

LAC

0.692

0.308

11.8

2022

18

NYJ

6 - 11

MIA

0.492

0.508

10.3

2022

17

MIA

21 - 23

NE

0.597

0.403

8.2

2022

16

GB

26 - 20

MIA

0.581

0.419

25.3

2022

15

MIA

29 - 32

BUF

0.545

0.455

20.4

2022

14

MIA

17 - 23

LAC

0.596

0.404

5.1

2022

13

MIA

17 - 33

SF

0.81

0.19

1.9

2022

12

HOU

15 - 30

MIA

0.612

0.388

13.5

2022

10

CLE

17 - 39

MIA

0.5

0.5

10.6

2022

9

MIA

35 - 32

CHI

0.566

0.434

19.5

2022

8

MIA

31 - 27

DET

0.581

0.419

30.6

2022

7

PIT

10 - 16

MIA

0.565

0.435

12.8

2022

6

MIN

24 - 16

MIA

0.701

0.299

16.9

2022

5

MIA

17 - 40

NYJ

0.567

0.433

5.3

2022

4

MIA

15 - 27

CIN

0.627

0.373

5.9

2022

3

BUF

19 - 21

MIA

0.541

0.459

15.1

2022

2

MIA

42 - 38

BAL

0.735

0.265

40.1

2022

1

NE

7 - 20

MIA

0.589

0.411

17.7

2021

18

NE

24 - 33

MIA

0.338

0.662

13.7

2021

17

MIA

3 - 34

TEN

0.709

0.291

7.7

2021

16

MIA

20 - 3

NO

0.464

0.536

25.2

2021

13

NYG

9 - 20

MIA

0.621

0.379

18.0

2021

12

CAR

10 - 33

MIA

0.443

0.557

28.7

2021

11

MIA

24 - 17

NYJ

0.507

0.493

20.6

2021

10

BAL

10 - 22

MIA

0.621

0.379

10.1

2021

9

HOU

9 - 17

MIA

0.632

0.368

16.3

2021

8

MIA

11 - 26

BUF

0.629

0.371

6.9

2021

7

ATL

30 - 28

MIA

0.58

0.42

15.3

2021

6

MIA

20 - 23

JAX

0.706

0.294

29.0

2021

5

MIA

17 - 45

TB

0.812

0.188

5.3

2021

4

IND

27 - 17

MIA

0.652

0.348

6.3

2021

3

MIA

28 - 31

LV

0.645

0.355

17.8

2021

2

BUF

35 - 0

MIA

0.688

0.312

8.8

2021

1

MIA

17 - 16

NE

0.54

0.46

16.1