NFL Prophet
NFL Prophet About >> Weekly Predictions >> Playoff Odds >> Fantasy Projections >> Previous Matchups


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2024

17

LAC

40 - 7

NE

0.519

0.481

8.1

2024

16

DEN

27 - 34

LAC

0.525

0.475

7.1

2024

15

TB

40 - 17

LAC

0.756

0.244

3.0

2024

14

LAC

17 - 19

KC

0.556

0.444

13.8

2024

13

LAC

17 - 13

ATL

0.585

0.415

2.1

2024

12

BAL

30 - 23

LAC

0.643

0.357

6.8

2024

11

CIN

27 - 34

LAC

0.59

0.41

4.3

2024

10

TEN

17 - 27

LAC

0.316

0.684

4.6

2024

9

LAC

27 - 10

CLE

0.54

0.46

14.3

2024

8

NO

8 - 26

LAC

0.525

0.475

9.2

2024

7

LAC

15 - 17

ARI

0.639

0.361

10.3

2024

6

LAC

23 - 16

DEN

0.472

0.528

5.8

2024

4

KC

17 - 10

LAC

0.529

0.471

6.6

2024

2

LAC

26 - 3

CAR

0.312

0.688

3.9

2024

1

LV

10 - 22

LAC

0.491

0.509

3.5

2023

18

KC

13 - 12

LAC

0.61

0.39

11.0

2023

16

BUF

24 - 22

LAC

0.55

0.45

9.7

2023

15

LAC

21 - 63

LV

0.533

0.467

21.3

2023

9

LAC

27 - 6

NYJ

0.588

0.412

0.0

2023

8

CHI

13 - 30

LAC

0.615

0.385

5.4

2023

7

LAC

17 - 31

KC

0.536

0.464

18.3

2023

6

DAL

20 - 17

LAC

0.617

0.383

10.0

2023

4

LV

17 - 24

LAC

0.393

0.607

10.7

2023

3

LAC

28 - 24

MIN

0.762

0.238

14.6

2023

2

LAC

24 - 27

TEN

0.661

0.339

4.3

2023

1

MIA

36 - 34

LAC

0.452

0.548

1.4

2022

18

LAC

28 - 31

DEN

0.667

0.333

7.9

2022

17

LAR

10 - 31

LAC

0.5

0.5

0.0

2022

16

LAC

20 - 3

IND

0.492

0.508

3.6

2022

15

TEN

14 - 17

LAC

0.636

0.364

9.9

2022

14

MIA

17 - 23

LAC

0.689

0.311

9.3

2022

13

LAC

20 - 27

LV

0.681

0.319

13.0

2022

12

LAC

25 - 24

ARI

0.783

0.217

10.6

2022

11

KC

30 - 27

LAC

0.5

0.5

30.6

2022

10

LAC

16 - 22

SF

0.698

0.302

7.4

2022

9

LAC

20 - 17

ATL

0.642

0.358

18.6

2022

6

DEN

16 - 19

LAC

0.704

0.296

14.7

2022

5

LAC

30 - 28

CLE

0.5

0.5

5.4

2022

4

LAC

34 - 24

HOU

0.591

0.409

3.5

2022

3

JAX

38 - 10

LAC

0.789

0.211

15.9

2022

2

LAC

24 - 27

KC

0.667

0.333

13.0

2022

1

LV

19 - 24

LAC

0.523

0.477

3.9

2021

18

LAC

32 - 35

LV

0.753

0.247

14.5

2021

17

DEN

13 - 34

LAC

0.47

0.53

4.6

2021

16

LAC

29 - 41

HOU

0.625

0.375

15.3

2021

15

KC

34 - 28

LAC

0.5

0.5

2.5

2021

14

NYG

21 - 37

LAC

0.456

0.544

17.6

2021

13

LAC

41 - 22

CIN

0.614

0.386

0.0

2021

12

LAC

13 - 28

DEN

0.721

0.279

4.5

2021

11

PIT

37 - 41

LAC

0.612

0.388

3.3

2021

10

MIN

27 - 20

LAC

0.642

0.358

5.2

2021

9

LAC

27 - 24

PHI

0.585

0.415

4.2

2021

8

NE

27 - 24

LAC

0.636

0.364

9.4

2021

6

LAC

6 - 34

BAL

0.765

0.235

1.8

2021

5

CLE

42 - 47

LAC

0.652

0.348

3.2

2021

2

DAL

20 - 17

LAC

0.683

0.317

4.1

2021

1

LAC

20 - 16

WSH

0.618

0.382

2.7

Velus Jones Jr.

Pos: PR2, KR2, RB5 Team: NO YoE: 4
Draft: RD 3, PICK 71
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Mayer is entering his third NFL season. The 2023 second-round pick didn't make much noise as a rookie (27-304-2 receiving line in 14 games) and was limited by the presence of target hog Brock Bowers, as well as some time away from the team (personal reasons) last season. Bowers actually played a pretty healthy share of the snaps (63%, including 74% from Week 14 on) last season, but he was targeted more than four times in only one of 11 games, which also marked his only game over 6.1 fantasy points. The 24-year-old may someday emerge into a fantasy star, but his receiving numbers will be severely limited as long as he's playing alongside Bowers. He should only be rostered in dynasty."


"Following a decorated college career at Notre Dame, Mayer was selected No. 35 overall in the 2023 Draft by Las Vegas. He caught 27 passes for 304 yards and two touchdowns as a rookie, but the Raiders then used their first-rounder on Brock Bowers in 2024. Mayer appeared in just 11 games last season, and his playing time took a hit when he was available. He finished the season with 21 catches for 156 scoreless yards, and the Raiders appear to be willing to move him after just two years."

Michael Mayer's target share has decreased by 44.73% over the past 6 weeks.

Michael Mayer's receiving yards have decreased by 58.33% over the past 6 weeks.

Michael Mayer's targets have decreased by 46.15% over the past 6 weeks.

Michael Mayer's receptions have decreased by 44.44% over the past 6 weeks.

Michael Mayer's total yards have decreased by 58.33% over the past 6 weeks.

Velus Jones Jr.

Pos: PR2, KR2, RB5 Team: NO YoE: 4
Draft: RD 3, PICK 71
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Smith-Njigba is entering his third NFL season following a breakout 2024 in which he ranked top 10 among wide receivers in routes, receptions, yardage and fantasy points (19th in PPG). Operating primarily in a short-area role, "JSN" was, however, limited to six TDs and ranked 16th in end zone targets (11). The 2023 first-round pick got more downfield opportunities in 2024 than he did as a rookie and perhaps will get even more in 2025 with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett out and Cooper Kupp in as his wide receiver running mate. Smith-Njigba will also have a new playcaller (Klint Kubiak) and quarterback (Sam Darnold), which adds some uncertainty, but the bottom line is he's an emerging star and, at 23 years old, younger than some incoming rookies. Smith-Njigba is a WR2 who could crack the top 10 with another leap forward."


"The turbulent week in Seattle continues, as previously the Seahawks released WR Tyler Lockett before fellow WR DK Metcalf requested a trade. Last season, Smith-Njigba led all Seahawks receivers in receptions (100), receiving yards (1,130), and touchdowns (six). While potentially losing Metcalf would force defenses to key in on Smith-Njigba even further, the 2023 first-round pick was superb across two games without Metcalf last year, generating 249 yards and two touchdowns. The bigger concern for Smith-Njigba's fantasy value in 2025 is the quarterback, though he should be a target hog once again considering his role in the slot -- where he played 75 percent of snaps last year -- is secure."

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's receiving yards have decreased by 43.1% over the past 6 weeks.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's target share has increased by 25.75% over the past 8 weeks.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's targets have increased by 29.63% over the past 8 weeks.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's receiving touchdowns have increased by 300+% over the past 18 weeks.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's receiving yards per attempt has decreased by 64.01% over the past 6 weeks.

Velus Jones Jr.

Pos: PR2, KR2, RB5 Team: NO YoE: 4
Draft: RD 3, PICK 71
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Kmet enters 2025 having finished better than 16th in fantasy PPG once in his career, a ninth-place finish in 2023. He finished in the top 10 among TEs in all key categories that season, but plummeted to outside the top 20 in targets, catches, yards and fantasy points in 2024. In what was a bit of a bizarre season, Kmet appeared in all 17 games, paced all tight ends in snaps, finished fifth in routes and led the position with an 84% catch rate, but ended up 27th in fantasy PPG. He had two games with double-digit targets but three with zero. The 26-year-old's fantasy stock took a massive hit in April when Chicago spent its first-round pick on Colston Loveland. No longer positioned for more than the occasional target or two, Kmet is well off the fantasy radar."


"In 2024, Kmet recorded 47 receptions for 474 yards and four touchdowns on 55 targets, marking his least productive season since his rookie year in 2020. After playing 87 percent of the offensive snaps last season, Kmet now faces significant competition following the first-round selection of Loveland, whose arrival could sharply reduce his role. Although Loveland is expected to be an adequate blocker, the Bears likely drafted the former Michigan standout for his ability to create mismatches in the passing game. Unless the situation shifts during training camp, Kmet may go undrafted in the majority of fantasy leagues."

Cole Kmet's target share has decreased by 71.26% over the past 10 weeks.

Cole Kmet's receiving yards have decreased by 70.0% over the past 6 weeks.

Cole Kmet's targets have decreased by 75.0% over the past 10 weeks.

Cole Kmet's receptions have decreased by 66.67% over the past 10 weeks.

Cole Kmet's receiving yards per attempt has decreased by 73.53% over the past 6 weeks.

Velus Jones Jr.

Pos: PR2, KR2, RB5 Team: NO YoE: 4
Draft: RD 3, PICK 71
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"..."


"A 2024 sixth-round pick, Milton spent most of his rookie season behind Jacoby Brissett and Drake Maye on the depth chart but got the chance to play extended snaps in a win over the Bills in Week 18, when he completed 22 of 29 pass attempts for 241 yards and a touchdown to go with 16 yards and a touchdown on 10 carries. After the Patriots let Brissett walk in free agency before bringing in a more experienced backup option in Joshua Dobbs to serve as Maye's backup in 2025, Milton will be moved to Dallas, where he'll serve as the No. 2 quarterback behind Dak Prescott (hamstring)."

Velus Jones Jr.

Pos: PR2, KR2, RB5 Team: NO YoE: 4
Draft: RD 3, PICK 71
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Hunt re-signed with the Chiefs following a successful reunion with the team last season. He stepped in for an injured Isiah Pacheco in Week 4 and went on to average 21.5 touches, 89.0 yards and 14.8 fantasy points over the next eight games. Pacheco returned in Week 13 and then neither were viable fantasy options from that point forward, as they were near even in snaps, carries and targets, with Samaje Perine also in the mix as a passing-down specialist. Hunt was not particularly effective as a rusher or receiver and he's now 30 years old, so it's fair to expect a healthy Pacheco to lead this backfield in 2025. Hunt is only a late-round consideration."


"Hunt joined Kansas City last September in the wake of an early-season IR stint for Isiah Pacheco due to a fractured fibula. He served as the team's starter for a stretch and then split backfield reps with Pacheco once the latter returned to the lineup, up through the Chiefs' loss to Philadelphia in Super Bowl LIX. Hunt concluded the regular season with 200 carries for 728 yards and seven scores across 13 appearances, plus 23 catches for 176 yards through the air (32 targets). A full offseason to get back to 100 percent form may allow Pacheco to reclaim a firm grasp on the lead role of the Chiefs' backfield, which also added speedster Elijah Mitchell in free agency, but Hunt's solid showing in 2024 figures to leave him in position for a solid amount of complementary snaps. The exact pecking order of Kansas City's rushing attack may not gain clarity until training camp and/or the preseason."

Kareem Hunt's targets have decreased by 66.67% over the past 8 weeks.

Kareem Hunt's rushing yards have decreased by 53.96% over the past 10 weeks.

Kareem Hunt's rushing attempt share has decreased by 45.91% over the past 8 weeks.

Kareem Hunt's rushing attempts have decreased by 51.09% over the past 10 weeks.

Kareem Hunt's rushing touchdowns have increased by 100% over the past 6 weeks.

Velus Jones Jr.

Pos: PR2, KR2, RB5 Team: NO YoE: 4
Draft: RD 3, PICK 71
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"..."


"Jones played three regular-season games (two with the Bears, one with the Panthers) in 2024 and logged two carries for 11 yards and one catch for eight yards over that span. He's got an outside shot at consistent reps out of the Saints' backfield, but he could earn a spot on the 53-man roster for 2025 as a return specialist."

Velus Jones Jr.'s rushing attempt share has increased by 216.98% over the past 6 weeks.

Velus Jones Jr.'s rushing yards per attempt has decreased by 68.57% over the past 8 weeks.

Velus Jones Jr.'s rushing yards have decreased by 62.07% over the past 8 weeks.

Velus Jones Jr.'s targets have decreased by 66.67% over the past 10 weeks.

Velus Jones Jr.'s rushing attempts have increased by 250.0% over the past 14 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2024

18

LAC

34 - 20

LV

0.75

0.25

6.1

2024

17

LV

25 - 10

NO

0.479

0.521

2.4

2024

16

JAX

14 - 19

LV

0.585

0.415

0.0

2024

15

ATL

15 - 9

LV

0.639

0.361

2.1

2024

14

LV

13 - 28

TB

0.597

0.403

13.8

2024

13

LV

17 - 19

KC

0.583

0.417

1.5

2024

12

DEN

29 - 19

LV

0.768

0.232

3.1

2024

11

LV

19 - 34

MIA

0.729

0.271

1.5

2024

3

CAR

36 - 22

LV

0.714

0.286

1.7

2024

2

LV

26 - 23

BAL

0.691

0.309

2.1

2024

1

LV

10 - 22

LAC

0.6

0.4

2.3

2023

15

LAC

21 - 63

LV

0.581

0.419

13.9

2023

14

MIN

3 - 0

LV

0.653

0.347

2.4

2023

12

KC

31 - 17

LV

0.596

0.404

4.7

2023

11

LV

13 - 20

MIA

0.719

0.281

8.6

2023

10

NYJ

12 - 16

LV

0.458

0.542

10.9

2023

9

NYG

6 - 30

LV

0.424

0.576

3.1

2023

8

LV

14 - 26

DET

0.538

0.462

2.9

2023

7

LV

12 - 30

CHI

0.763

0.237

3.3

2023

6

NE

17 - 21

LV

0.492

0.508

12.5

2023

5

GB

13 - 17

LV

0.517

0.483

5.9

2023

4

LV

17 - 24

LAC

0.629

0.371

0.0

2023

3

PIT

23 - 18

LV

0.698

0.302

0.0

2023

2

LV

10 - 38

BUF

0.615

0.385

1.2

2023

1

LV

17 - 16

DEN

0.473

0.527

0.0


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2024

18

SEA

30 - 25

LAR

0.529

0.471

5.3

2024

17

SEA

6 - 3

CHI

0.479

0.521

6.2

2024

16

MIN

27 - 24

SEA

0.741

0.259

24.0

2024

15

GB

30 - 13

SEA

0.673

0.327

18.3

2024

14

SEA

30 - 18

ARI

0.492

0.508

19.6

2024

13

SEA

26 - 21

NYJ

0.574

0.426

11.9

2024

12

ARI

6 - 16

SEA

0.554

0.446

19.7

2024

11

SEA

20 - 17

SF

0.582

0.418

21.8

2024

9

LAR

26 - 20

SEA

0.507

0.493

37.0

2024

8

BUF

31 - 10

SEA

0.63

0.37

12.9

2024

7

SEA

34 - 14

ATL

0.527

0.473

5.3

2024

6

SF

36 - 24

SEA

0.722

0.278

10.3

2024

5

NYG

29 - 20

SEA

0.784

0.216

13.1

2024

4

SEA

29 - 42

DET

0.747

0.253

13.1

2024

3

MIA

3 - 24

SEA

0.596

0.404

6.9

2024

2

SEA

23 - 20

NE

0.698

0.302

23.7

2024

1

DEN

20 - 26

SEA

0.431

0.569

3.9

2023

18

SEA

21 - 20

ARI

0.528

0.472

4.4

2023

17

PIT

30 - 23

SEA

0.688

0.312

8.2

2023

16

SEA

20 - 17

TEN

0.643

0.357

12.1

2023

15

PHI

17 - 20

SEA

0.579

0.421

14.8

2023

14

SEA

16 - 28

SF

0.608

0.392

6.5

2023

13

SEA

35 - 41

DAL

0.651

0.349

13.2

2023

12

SF

31 - 13

SEA

0.562

0.438

6.1

2023

11

SEA

16 - 17

LAR

0.656

0.344

7.0

2023

10

WSH

26 - 29

SEA

0.644

0.356

9.3

2023

9

SEA

3 - 37

BAL

0.651

0.349

12.3

2023

8

CLE

20 - 24

SEA

0.685

0.315

12.6

2023

7

ARI

10 - 20

SEA

0.429

0.571

16.3

2023

6

SEA

13 - 17

CIN

0.621

0.379

8.8

2023

4

SEA

24 - 3

NYG

0.531

0.469

3.5

2023

3

CAR

27 - 37

SEA

0.522

0.478

2.0

2023

2

SEA

37 - 31

DET

0.621

0.379

8.4

2023

1

LAR

30 - 13

SEA

0.591

0.409

4.3


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2024

18

CHI

24 - 22

GB

0.536

0.464

2.3

2024

17

SEA

6 - 3

CHI

0.549

0.451

0.0

2024

16

DET

34 - 17

CHI

0.702

0.298

8.9

2024

15

CHI

12 - 30

MIN

0.525

0.475

2.4

2024

14

CHI

13 - 38

SF

0.533

0.467

0.0

2024

13

CHI

20 - 23

DET

0.722

0.278

5.6

2024

12

MIN

30 - 27

CHI

0.686

0.314

13.4

2024

11

GB

20 - 19

CHI

0.477

0.523

7.2

2024

10

NE

19 - 3

CHI

0.6

0.4

3.3

2024

9

CHI

9 - 29

ARI

0.641

0.359

0.0

2024

8

CHI

15 - 18

WSH

0.421

0.579

2.4

2024

6

JAX

16 - 35

CHI

0.5

0.5

24.0

2024

5

CAR

10 - 36

CHI

0.426

0.574

8.7

2024

4

LAR

18 - 24

CHI

0.451

0.549

6.4

2024

3

CHI

16 - 21

IND

0.65

0.35

25.7

2024

2

CHI

13 - 19

HOU

0.627

0.373

6.7

2024

1

TEN

17 - 24

CHI

0.569

0.431

1.4

2023

18

CHI

9 - 17

GB

0.39

0.61

7.1

2023

17

ATL

17 - 37

CHI

0.464

0.536

0.0

2023

16

ARI

16 - 27

CHI

0.409

0.591

14.7

2023

15

CHI

17 - 20

CLE

0.597

0.403

13.3

2023

14

DET

13 - 28

CHI

0.524

0.476

11.6

2023

12

CHI

12 - 10

MIN

0.569

0.431

11.3

2023

11

CHI

26 - 31

DET

0.333

0.667

5.0

2023

10

CAR

13 - 16

CHI

0.471

0.529

9.6

2023

9

CHI

17 - 24

NO

0.484

0.516

23.5

2023

8

CHI

13 - 30

LAC

0.597

0.403

17.9

2023

7

LV

12 - 30

CHI

0.433

0.567

0.0

2023

6

MIN

19 - 13

CHI

0.4

0.6

2.9

2023

5

CHI

40 - 20

WSH

0.475

0.525

15.2

2023

4

DEN

31 - 28

CHI

0.53

0.47

27.6

2023

3

CHI

10 - 41

KC

0.458

0.542

4.2

2023

2

CHI

17 - 27

TB

0.644

0.356

7.8

2023

1

GB

38 - 20

CHI

0.561

0.439

9.4

2022

18

MIN

29 - 13

CHI

0.551

0.449

15.7

2022

17

CHI

10 - 41

DET

0.488

0.512

10.7

2022

16

BUF

35 - 13

CHI

0.491

0.509

7.7

2022

15

PHI

25 - 20

CHI

0.423

0.577

6.5

2022

13

GB

28 - 19

CHI

0.5

0.5

13.2

2022

12

CHI

10 - 31

NYJ

0.463

0.537

5.7

2022

11

CHI

24 - 27

ATL

0.339

0.661

6.5

2022

10

DET

31 - 30

CHI

0.364

0.636

23.4

2022

9

MIA

35 - 32

CHI

0.412

0.588

22.0

2022

8

CHI

29 - 49

DAL

0.358

0.642

9.1

2022

7

CHI

33 - 14

NE

0.318

0.682

5.2

2022

6

WSH

12 - 7

CHI

0.422

0.578

2.5

2022

5

CHI

22 - 29

MIN

0.467

0.533

8.5

2022

4

CHI

12 - 20

NYG

0.407

0.593

4.6

2022

3

HOU

20 - 23

CHI

0.298

0.702

6.0

2022

2

CHI

10 - 27

GB

0.289

0.711

0.0

2022

1

SF

10 - 19

CHI

0.315

0.685

0.0

2021

18

CHI

17 - 31

MIN

0.658

0.342

8.8

2021

17

NYG

3 - 29

CHI

0.571

0.429

5.5

2021

16

CHI

25 - 24

SEA

0.538

0.462

8.9

2021

15

MIN

17 - 9

CHI

0.582

0.418

13.1

2021

14

CHI

30 - 45

GB

0.589

0.411

4.7

2021

13

ARI

33 - 22

CHI

0.603

0.397

7.1

2021

12

CHI

16 - 14

DET

0.574

0.426

14.5

2021

11

BAL

16 - 13

CHI

0.63

0.37

2.2

2021

9

CHI

27 - 29

PIT

0.527

0.473

14.7

2021

8

SF

33 - 22

CHI

0.429

0.571

5.4

2021

7

CHI

3 - 38

TB

0.525

0.475

9.3

2021

6

GB

24 - 14

CHI

0.509

0.491

8.9

2021

5

CHI

20 - 9

LV

0.362

0.638

4.2

2021

4

DET

14 - 24

CHI

0.304

0.696

1.6

2021

3

CHI

6 - 26

CLE

0.606

0.394

2.1

2021

2

CIN

17 - 20

CHI

0.414

0.586

1.0

2021

1

CHI

14 - 34

LAR

0.606

0.394

9.2


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2024

18

BUF

16 - 23

NE

0.5

0.5

19.24