NFL Prophet
NFL Prophet About >> Weekly Predictions >> Playoff Odds >> Fantasy Projections >> Previous Matchups

Justin Jefferson

Pos: WR1 Team: MIN YoE: 6
Draft: RD 1, PICK 22
Injury Status: Q Return Date: 2025-09-08



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Jefferson enters his sixth NFL season as one of the best in the league at his position. The 26-year-old has produced a league-high 7,432 receiving yards since his arrival in 2020, having put up at least 100 catches, 1,500 yards and eight TDs in his last three full seasons. Jefferson has finished four straight seasons as a top-5 fantasy receiver on a per-game basis and showed he was QB-proof in 2024, finishing top 5 in catches, yards and TDs with Sam Darnold under center. Darnold is gone, but 2024 first-round pick J.J. McCarthy could conceivably be an upgrade in Kevin O'Connell's pass-first scheme. Jefferson should be one of the first players off the board on draft day."


"Jefferson has been sidelined since late July by what has been described as a mild left hamstring strain, but the star wide receiver is ready to start ramping up his activity level. Per Kevin Seifert of ESPN.com, Jefferson will participate in part of Monday's practice. Though Jefferson hasn't yet been cleared to participate in team drills without limitations, this development nonetheless is a step in the right direction. Jefferson's goal is to be ready for Week 1 against the Bears on Monday, Sept. 8, but he's unlikely to suit up for Friday's preseason finale against the Titans."

Justin Jefferson's targets have increased by 62.07% over the past 8 weeks.

Justin Jefferson's target share has increased by 28.3% over the past 8 weeks.

Justin Jefferson's receiving touchdowns have increased by 300+% over the past 12 weeks.

Justin Jefferson's receiving yards have increased by 26.28% over the past 10 weeks.

Justin Jefferson's total touchdowns have increased by 300+% over the past 12 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2024

18

MIN

9 - 31

DET

0.683

0.317

8.4

2024

17

GB

25 - 27

MIN

0.623

0.377

17.2

2024

16

MIN

27 - 24

SEA

0.593

0.407

36.4

2024

15

CHI

12 - 30

MIN

0.58

0.42

20.3

2024

14

ATL

21 - 42

MIN

0.538

0.462

32.2

2024

13

ARI

22 - 23

MIN

0.674

0.326

16.9

2024

12

MIN

30 - 27

CHI

0.565

0.435

4.7

2024

11

MIN

23 - 13

TEN

0.492

0.508

14.1

2024

10

MIN

12 - 7

JAX

0.469

0.531

9.8

2024

9

IND

13 - 21

MIN

0.522

0.478

21.58

2024

8

MIN

20 - 30

LAR

0.532

0.468

19.5

2024

7

DET

31 - 29

MIN

0.562

0.438

21.4

2024

5

NYJ

17 - 23

MIN

0.516

0.484

15.2

2024

4

MIN

31 - 29

GB

0.452

0.548

20.5

2024

3

HOU

7 - 34

MIN

0.5

0.5

20.1

2024

2

SF

17 - 23

MIN

0.52

0.48

23.3

2024

1

MIN

28 - 6

NYG

0.48

0.52

15.9

2023

18

MIN

20 - 30

DET

0.667

0.333

36.0

2023

17

GB

33 - 10

MIN

0.667

0.333

10.9

2023

16

DET

30 - 24

MIN

0.766

0.234

26.1

2023

15

MIN

24 - 27

CIN

0.531

0.469

15.4

2023

14

MIN

3 - 0

LV

0.545

0.455

4.7

2023

5

KC

27 - 20

MIN

0.723

0.277

5.8

2023

4

MIN

21 - 13

CAR

0.452

0.548

26.5

2023

3

LAC

28 - 24

MIN

0.676

0.324

27.9

2023

2

MIN

28 - 34

PHI

0.83

0.17

24.9

2023

1

TB

20 - 17

MIN

0.721

0.279

24.0

2022

18

MIN

29 - 13

CHI

0.465

0.535

7.8

2022

17

MIN

17 - 41

GB

0.636

0.364

2.5

2022

16

NYG

24 - 27

MIN

0.716

0.284

31.3

2022

15

IND

36 - 39

MIN

0.696

0.304

30.3

2022

14

MIN

23 - 34

DET

0.707

0.293

33.3

2022

13

NYJ

22 - 27

MIN

0.547

0.453

18.6

2022

12

NE

26 - 33

MIN

0.585

0.415

29.34

2022

11

DAL

40 - 3

MIN

0.638

0.362

6.3

2022

10

MIN

33 - 30

BUF

0.667

0.333

35.3

2022

9

MIN

20 - 17

WSH

0.651

0.349

25.5

2022

8

ARI

26 - 34

MIN

0.554

0.446

15.8

2022

6

MIN

24 - 16

MIA

0.638

0.362

16.7

2022

5

CHI

22 - 29

MIN

0.575

0.425

28.32

2022

4

MIN

28 - 25

NO

0.609

0.391

31.0

2022

3

DET

24 - 28

MIN

0.621

0.379

4.4

2022

2

MIN

7 - 24

PHI

0.807

0.193

10.8

2022

1

GB

7 - 23

MIN

0.533

0.467

39.4

2021

18

CHI

17 - 31

MIN

0.5

0.5

22.1

2021

17

MIN

10 - 37

GB

0.78

0.22

11.8

2021

16

LAR

30 - 23

MIN

0.633

0.367

19.6

2021

15

MIN

17 - 9

CHI

0.421

0.579

14.7

2021

14

PIT

28 - 36

MIN

0.463

0.537

20.5

2021

13

MIN

27 - 29

DET

0.603

0.397

35.6

2021

12

MIN

26 - 34

SF

0.647

0.353

13.26

2021

11

GB

31 - 34

MIN

0.547

0.453

37.2

2021

10

MIN

27 - 20

LAC

0.529

0.471

22.9

2021

9

MIN

31 - 34

BAL

0.538

0.462

17.0

2021

8

DAL

20 - 16

MIN

0.6

0.4

4.1

2021

6

MIN

34 - 28

CAR

0.571

0.429

14.0

2021

5

DET

17 - 19

MIN

0.548

0.452

19.4

2021

4

CLE

14 - 7

MIN

0.623

0.377

20.4

2021

3

SEA

17 - 30

MIN

0.528

0.472

26.8

2021

2

MIN

33 - 34

ARI

0.542

0.458

18.5

2021

1

MIN

24 - 27

CIN

0.694

0.306

12.54