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Adonai Mitchell

Pos: WR2 Team: NYJ YoE: 2
Draft: RD 2, PICK 52
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Mitchell is eyeing a leap forward in his second season after he was limited to 35% of the offensive snaps as a rookie. The 2024 second-round pick found himself buried behind Michael Pittman Jr., Alec Pierce and Josh Downs for most of the season, which led to inconsistent usage and one outing with double-digit fantasy points. He was targeted often when on the field (54 targets on 193 routes), but his vertical role, coupled with poor QB play (league-high 41% off target rate), led to a position-worst 43% catch rate and zero TDs. Mitchell's second-round pedigree places him on the breakout radar, but his hands will be full overcoming the team's WR depth (all three of Pittman, Pierce and Downs are back) and ongoing QB question marks. Mitchell is no more than a late-round lottery ticket."


"Mitchell has 55 targets in seven games with the Jets but has caught only 24 of them. He has 320 receiving yards and two touchdowns since coming over from the Colts in a midseason trade. Brady Cook has a 1:7 TD:INT in four games (three starts) since taking over as the Jets' starting quarterback, so Mitchell could be held back by poor quarterback play again in Week 18 against the Bills."

Adonai Mitchell's target share has increased by 299.3% over the past 14 weeks.

Adonai Mitchell's receiving yards have increased by 271.64% over the past 10 weeks.

Adonai Mitchell's targets have increased by 292.86% over the past 14 weeks.

Adonai Mitchell's receptions have increased by 300+% over the past 10 weeks.

Adonai Mitchell's reception share has increased by 300+% over the past 10 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



FantasyPassingReceivingRushingMisc

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

18

NYJ

8 - 35

BUF

0.489

0.511

0.0

2025

17

NE

42 - 10

NYJ

0.548

0.452

5.2

2025

16

NYJ

6 - 29

NO

0.636

0.364

7.3

2025

15

NYJ

20 - 48

JAX

0.508

0.492

17.4

2025

14

MIA

34 - 10

NYJ

0.667

0.333

3.4

2025

13

ATL

24 - 27

NYJ

0.541

0.459

24.2

2025

12

NYJ

10 - 23

BAL

0.519

0.481

6.2

2025

11

NYJ

14 - 27

NE

0.491

0.509

2.0

2025

9

IND

20 - 27

PIT

0.725

0.275

1.7

2025

8

TEN

14 - 38

IND

0.633

0.367

0.0

2025

7

IND

38 - 24

LAC

0.596

0.404

1.8

2025

5

LV

6 - 40

IND

0.561

0.439

0.0

2025

4

IND

20 - 27

LAR

0.611

0.389

10.6

2025

3

IND

41 - 20

TEN

0.472

0.528

0.0

2025

2

DEN

28 - 29

IND

0.515

0.485

4.0

2025

1

MIA

8 - 33

IND

0.42

0.58

4.1

2024

18

JAX

23 - 26

IND

0.541

0.459

0.0

2024

17

IND

33 - 45

NYG

0.535

0.465

4.2

2024

16

TEN

30 - 38

IND

0.18

0.82

4.6

2024

15

IND

13 - 31

DEN

0.543

0.457

-3.0

2024

13

IND

25 - 24

NE

0.414

0.586

0.0

2024

12

DET

24 - 6

IND

0.571

0.429

2.0

2024

11

IND

28 - 27

NYJ

0.462

0.538

4.5

2024

10

BUF

30 - 20

IND

0.614

0.386

13.1

2024

9

IND

13 - 21

MIN

0.587

0.413

3.2

2024

8

IND

20 - 23

HOU

0.552

0.448

1.9

2024

7

MIA

10 - 16

IND

0.393

0.607

5.0

2024

6

IND

20 - 17

TEN

0.576

0.424

2.9

2024

5

IND

34 - 37

JAX

0.692

0.308

9.16

2024

4

PIT

24 - 27

IND

0.484

0.516

1.0

2024

3

CHI

16 - 21

IND

0.377

0.623

0.0

2024

2

IND

10 - 16

GB

0.654

0.346

4.0

2024

1

HOU

29 - 27

IND

0.463

0.537

1.2

make your own luck.
nfl-prophet.com © Joseph Poirier, 2024

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Pos: WR-1 Team: undefined YoE: undefined
Draft: RD undefined, PICK undefined
Injury Status: undefined Return Date: undefined



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Collins is entering his fifth NFL season having established himself as one of the league's top receivers over the last two years. After breaking out with an 80-1,297-8 receiving line in 15 games in 2023, Collins posted a 68-1,006-7 line in 12 games last season. He was a top-10 fantasy WR on a per-game basis in both seasons. The missed games are a concern (he's missed at least two games in all four seasons), but he offsets that with elite play (top 3 in YPRR two years in a row). With Stefon Diggs gone and Tank Dell uncertain to play in 2025, Collins is ticketed for massive usage as C.J. Stroud's clear No. 1 target. He's a solid WR1 option in fantasy."


"The Texans accounted for most of their offensive production on two deep touchdown passes on their first two possessions, and Collins wasn't on the receiving end of either. He was one of five Houston pass catchers to earn at least four targets, as C.J. Stroud distributed targets evenly to his skill-position players. The end result was that Collins turned in a modest 57 yards, his second consecutive game with under 60 receiving yards."

Nico Collins' receiving yards have increased by 83.77% over the past 6 weeks.

Nico Collins' receiving touchdowns have decreased by 66.67% over the past 10 weeks.

Nico Collins' targets have increased by 36.11% over the past 10 weeks.

Nico Collins' total yards have increased by 157.27% over the past 6 weeks.

Nico Collins' target share has increased by 9.68% over the past 8 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



FantasyPassingReceivingRushingMisc

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

17

HOU

20 - 16

LAC

0.452

0.548

8.7

2025

16

LV

21 - 23

HOU

0.574

0.426

9.9

2025

15

ARI

20 - 40

HOU

0.468

0.532

23.5

2025

14

HOU

20 - 10

KC

0.5

0.5

16.1

2025

13

HOU

20 - 16

IND

0.507

0.493

21.5

2025

12

BUF

19 - 23

HOU

0.536

0.464

8.5

2025

11

HOU

16 - 13

TEN

0.641

0.359

24.2

2025

10

JAX

29 - 36

HOU

0.672

0.328

20.6

2025

9

DEN

18 - 15

HOU

0.588

0.412

14.5

2025

7

HOU

19 - 27

SEA

0.742

0.258

6.7

2025

5

HOU

44 - 10

BAL

0.484

0.516

16.0

2025

4

TEN

0 - 26

HOU

0.444

0.556

11.9

2025

3

HOU

10 - 17

JAX

0.667

0.333

22.4

2025

2

TB

20 - 19

HOU

0.558

0.442

14.2

2025

1

HOU

9 - 14

LAR

0.5

0.5

5.5

2024

18

HOU

23 - 14

TEN

0.491

0.509

14.8

2024

17

BAL

31 - 2

HOU

0.653

0.347

8.9

2024

16

HOU

19 - 27

KC

0.696

0.304

13.0

2024

15

MIA

12 - 20

HOU

0.565

0.435

17.7

2024

13

HOU

23 - 20

JAX

0.576

0.424

19.9

2024

12

TEN

32 - 27

HOU

0.66

0.34

20.2

2024

11

HOU

34 - 10

DAL

0.576

0.424

9.4

2024

5

BUF

20 - 23

HOU

0.576

0.424

15.8

2024

4

JAX

20 - 24

HOU

0.606

0.394

33.1

2024

3

HOU

7 - 34

MIN

0.759

0.241

12.6

2024

2

CHI

13 - 19

HOU

0.621

0.379

27.5

2024

1

HOU

29 - 27

IND

0.444

0.556

17.7

2023

18

HOU

23 - 19

IND

0.481

0.519

34.5

2023

17

TEN

3 - 26

HOU

0.533

0.467

15.7

2023

16

CLE

36 - 22

HOU

0.754

0.246

11.8

2023

14

HOU

6 - 30

NYJ

0.596

0.404

2.3

2023

13

DEN

17 - 22

HOU

0.483

0.517

34.1

2023

12

JAX

24 - 21

HOU

0.667

0.333

23.4

2023

11

ARI

16 - 21

HOU

0.603

0.397

13.5

2023

9

TB

37 - 39

HOU

0.712

0.288

14.4

2023

8

HOU

13 - 15

CAR

0.444

0.556

7.0

2023

6

NO

13 - 20

HOU

0.466

0.534

12.0

2023

5

HOU

19 - 21

ATL

0.603

0.397

6.9

2023

4

PIT

6 - 30

HOU

0.449

0.551

35.8

2023

3

HOU

37 - 17

JAX

0.536

0.464

5.4

2023

2

IND

31 - 20

HOU

0.644

0.356

27.6

2023

1

HOU

9 - 25

BAL

0.657

0.343

14.0

2022

13

CLE

27 - 14

HOU

0.639

0.361

12.5

2022

12

HOU

15 - 30

MIA

0.736

0.264

10.4

2022

11

WSH

23 - 10

HOU

0.673

0.327

9.8

2022

10

HOU

16 - 24

NYG

0.661

0.339

15.9

2022

7

HOU

20 - 38

LV

0.641

0.359

6.3

2022

5

HOU

13 - 6

JAX

0.436

0.564

10.5

2022

4

LAC

34 - 24

HOU

0.714

0.286

11.2

2022

3

HOU

20 - 23

CHI

0.571

0.429

6.1

2022

2

HOU

9 - 16

DEN

0.679

0.321

9.8

2022

1

IND

20 - 20

HOU

0.569

0.431

4.6

2021

18

TEN

28 - 25

HOU

0.611

0.389

9.7

2021

17

HOU

7 - 23

SF

0.542

0.458

5.5

2021

16

LAC

29 - 41

HOU

0.429

0.571

12.3

2021

15

HOU

30 - 16

JAX

0.536

0.464

3.4

2021

14

SEA

33 - 13

HOU

0.662

0.338

11.9

2021

13

IND

31 - 0

HOU

0.587

0.413

0.0

2021

12

NYJ

21 - 14

HOU

0.52

0.48

4.8

2021

11

HOU

22 - 13

TEN

0.387

0.613

1.9

2021

9

HOU

9 - 17

MIA

0.71

0.29

5.5

2021

8

LAR

38 - 22

HOU

0.736

0.264

9.5

2021

7

HOU

5 - 31

ARI

0.681

0.319

4.8

2021

6

HOU

3 - 31

IND

0.597

0.403

8.4

2021

2

HOU

21 - 31

CLE

0.509

0.491

4.2

2021

1

JAX

21 - 37

HOU

0.446

0.554

1.7

make your own luck.
nfl-prophet.com © Joseph Poirier, 2024