NFL Prophet
NFL Prophet About >> Weekly Predictions >> Playoff Odds >> Fantasy Projections >> Previous Matchups

Jake Ferguson

Pos: TE1 Team: DAL YoE: 4
Draft: RD 4, PICK 129
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Ferguson enters 2025 with eyes on a rebound after he fell from 10th in fantasy PPG in 2023 to 23rd last season. He essentially missed four full games, but still finished ninth among TEs in targets. The main issue was touchdowns, as he fell from five scores and a position-high 10 end zone targets in 2023 to zero TDs and two end zone targets in 2024. His 88 targets were easily the most among all players without a TD catch. Having Dak Prescott back will help, as Ferguson averaged 10.2 fantasy PPG in seven games with Prescott (not far off his 10.4 PPG in 2023), compared to 5.2 PPG in six full games when he was out. Ferguson is a solid TE2 who could flirt with weekly top-12 numbers."


"The third-year tight end had a quiet end to a disappointing season, failing to top 40 receiving yards or score a TD in any of his last seven appearances dating back to Week 10. Ferguson dealt with injuries in 2024 but also was a victim of a loss effectiveness for the Cowboys offense, particularly after Dak Prescott (hamstring) was lost for the season. After posting a 71-761-5 line during a breakout 2023, Ferguson slid back to 59 catches (on 86 targets) for 494 yards and zero touchdowns in 2024. He currently has one year left on his rookie contract, which should ensure he heads into next season at the top of the depth chart, but Luke Schoonmaker could take on a bigger role as a pass catcher and cut into Ferguson's volume in 2025."

Jake Ferguson's target share has increased by 56.29% over the past 6 weeks.

Jake Ferguson's targets have increased by 63.64% over the past 6 weeks.

Jake Ferguson's receiving yards have decreased by 52.1% over the past 14 weeks.

Jake Ferguson's receptions have increased by 83.33% over the past 6 weeks.

Jake Ferguson's receiving yards per attempt has decreased by 50.0% over the past 6 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2024

18

WSH

23 - 19

DAL

0.466

0.534

3.2

2024

17

DAL

7 - 41

PHI

0.492

0.508

2.8

2024

16

TB

24 - 26

DAL

0.636

0.364

10.0

2024

15

DAL

30 - 14

CAR

0.42

0.58

4.3

2024

14

CIN

27 - 20

DAL

0.554

0.446

6.2

2024

11

HOU

34 - 10

DAL

0.757

0.243

2.1

2024

10

PHI

34 - 6

DAL

0.547

0.453

4.4

2024

9

DAL

21 - 27

ATL

0.704

0.296

14.1

2024

8

DAL

24 - 30

SF

0.667

0.333

8.3

2024

6

DET

47 - 9

DAL

0.721

0.279

4.1

2024

5

DAL

20 - 17

PIT

0.575

0.425

13.0

2024

4

DAL

20 - 15

NYG

0.54

0.46

11.9

2024

3

BAL

28 - 25

DAL

0.761

0.239

15.5

2024

1

DAL

33 - 17

CLE

0.561

0.439

4.5

2023

18

DAL

38 - 10

WSH

0.58

0.42

12.9

2023

17

DET

19 - 20

DAL

0.644

0.356

7.3

2023

16

DAL

20 - 22

MIA

0.561

0.439

8.5

2023

15

DAL

10 - 31

BUF

0.63

0.37

10.4

2023

14

PHI

13 - 33

DAL

0.549

0.451

12.2

2023

13

SEA

35 - 41

DAL

0.547

0.453

19.7

2023

12

WSH

10 - 45

DAL

0.64

0.36

4.5

2023

11

DAL

33 - 10

CAR

0.603

0.397

6.2

2023

10

NYG

17 - 49

DAL

0.571

0.429

12.6

2023

9

DAL

23 - 28

PHI

0.677

0.323

22.1

2023

8

LAR

20 - 43

DAL

0.567

0.433

14.7

2023

6

DAL

20 - 17

LAC

0.536

0.464

2.5

2023

5

DAL

10 - 42

SF

0.578

0.422

5.8

2023

4

NE

3 - 38

DAL

0.545

0.455

14.7

2023

3

DAL

16 - 28

ARI

0.548

0.452

9.8

2023

2

NYJ

10 - 30

DAL

0.463

0.537

10.1

2023

1

DAL

40 - 0

NYG

0.455

0.545

3.1

2022

18

DAL

6 - 26

WSH

0.585

0.415

1.4

2022

17

DAL

27 - 13

TEN

0.562

0.438

1.7

2022

16

PHI

34 - 40

DAL

0.53

0.47

3.4

2022

14

HOU

23 - 27

DAL

0.557

0.443

0.0

2022

13

IND

19 - 54

DAL

0.469

0.531

1.9

2022

12

NYG

20 - 28

DAL

0.435

0.565

8.7

2022

11

DAL

40 - 3

MIN

0.429

0.571

3.5

2022

10

DAL

28 - 31

GB

0.597

0.403

0.0

2022

8

CHI

29 - 49

DAL

0.482

0.518

7.1

2022

7

DET

6 - 24

DAL

0.439

0.561

1.7

2022

6

DAL

17 - 26

PHI

0.594

0.406

14.0

2022

5

DAL

22 - 10

LAR

0.32

0.68

0.0

2022

4

WSH

10 - 25

DAL

0.482

0.518

1.7

2022

3

DAL

23 - 16

NYG

0.508

0.492

3.3

2022

2

CIN

17 - 20

DAL

0.534

0.466

0.0

2022

1

TB

19 - 3

DAL

0.7

0.3

0.0