NFL Prophet
NFL Prophet About >> Weekly Predictions >> Playoff Odds >> Fantasy Projections >> Previous Matchups

Jake Ferguson

Pos: TE1 Team: DAL YoE: 4
Draft: RD 4, PICK 129
Injury Status: Q Return Date: 2025-12-14



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Ferguson enters 2025 with eyes on a rebound after he fell from 10th in fantasy PPG in 2023 to 23rd last season. He essentially missed four full games, but still finished ninth among TEs in targets. The main issue was touchdowns, as he fell from five scores and a position-high 10 end zone targets in 2023 to zero TDs and two end zone targets in 2024. His 88 targets were easily the most among all players without a TD catch. Having Dak Prescott back will help, as Ferguson averaged 10.2 fantasy PPG in seven games with Prescott (not far off his 10.4 PPG in 2023), compared to 5.2 PPG in six full games when he was out. Ferguson is a solid TE2 who could flirt with weekly top-12 numbers."


"Ferguson continued to serve as the third option in the Dallas passing offense behind both George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb. He had one of his better showings in recent weeks, logging lengthy receptions of 19, 17 and 12 yards. Ferguson may not have many spike performances so long as both Pickens and Lamb are healthy, but he has at least four catches in three straight games while reaching 50 yards twice in that span."

Jake Ferguson's target share has decreased by 42.95% over the past 6 weeks.

Jake Ferguson's receiving yards have decreased by 53.43% over the past 8 weeks.

Jake Ferguson's targets have decreased by 52.08% over the past 10 weeks.

Jake Ferguson's receiving touchdowns have decreased by 75.0+% over the past 6 weeks.

Jake Ferguson's receptions have decreased by 47.06% over the past 6 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

12

PHI

21 - 24

DAL

0.537

0.463

11.1

2025

11

DAL

33 - 16

LV

0.516

0.484

11.6

2025

9

ARI

27 - 17

DAL

0.65

0.35

8.0

2025

8

DAL

24 - 44

DEN

0.53

0.47

0.0

2025

7

WSH

22 - 44

DAL

0.492

0.508

21.9

2025

6

DAL

27 - 30

CAR

0.642

0.358

12.3

2025

5

DAL

37 - 22

NYJ

0.5

0.5

23.9

2025

4

GB

40 - 40

DAL

0.606

0.394

17.0

2025

3

DAL

14 - 31

CHI

0.692

0.308

21.2

2025

2

NYG

37 - 40

DAL

0.65

0.35

16.8

2025

1

DAL

20 - 24

PHI

0.607

0.393

7.3

2024

18

WSH

23 - 19

DAL

0.466

0.534

3.2

2024

17

DAL

7 - 41

PHI

0.492

0.508

2.8

2024

16

TB

24 - 26

DAL

0.636

0.364

10.0

2024

15

DAL

30 - 14

CAR

0.42

0.58

4.3

2024

14

CIN

27 - 20

DAL

0.554

0.446

6.2

2024

11

HOU

34 - 10

DAL

0.757

0.243

2.1

2024

10

PHI

34 - 6

DAL

0.547

0.453

4.4

2024

9

DAL

21 - 27

ATL

0.704

0.296

14.1

2024

8

DAL

24 - 30

SF

0.667

0.333

8.3

2024

6

DET

47 - 9

DAL

0.721

0.279

4.1

2024

5

DAL

20 - 17

PIT

0.575

0.425

13.0

2024

4

DAL

20 - 15

NYG

0.54

0.46

11.9

2024

3

BAL

28 - 25

DAL

0.761

0.239

15.5

2024

1

DAL

33 - 17

CLE

0.561

0.439

4.5

2023

18

DAL

38 - 10

WSH

0.58

0.42

12.9

2023

17

DET

19 - 20

DAL

0.644

0.356

7.3

2023

16

DAL

20 - 22

MIA

0.561

0.439

8.5

2023

15

DAL

10 - 31

BUF

0.63

0.37

10.4

2023

14

PHI

13 - 33

DAL

0.549

0.451

12.2

2023

13

SEA

35 - 41

DAL

0.547

0.453

19.7

2023

12

WSH

10 - 45

DAL

0.64

0.36

4.5

2023

11

DAL

33 - 10

CAR

0.603

0.397

6.2

2023

10

NYG

17 - 49

DAL

0.571

0.429

12.6

2023

9

DAL

23 - 28

PHI

0.677

0.323

22.1

2023

8

LAR

20 - 43

DAL

0.567

0.433

14.7

2023

6

DAL

20 - 17

LAC

0.536

0.464

2.5

2023

5

DAL

10 - 42

SF

0.578

0.422

5.8

2023

4

NE

3 - 38

DAL

0.545

0.455

14.7

2023

3

DAL

16 - 28

ARI

0.548

0.452

9.8

2023

2

NYJ

10 - 30

DAL

0.463

0.537

10.1

2023

1

DAL

40 - 0

NYG

0.455

0.545

3.1

2022

18

DAL

6 - 26

WSH

0.585

0.415

1.4

2022

17

DAL

27 - 13

TEN

0.562

0.438

1.7

2022

16

PHI

34 - 40

DAL

0.53

0.47

3.4

2022

14

HOU

23 - 27

DAL

0.557

0.443

0.0

2022

13

IND

19 - 54

DAL

0.469

0.531

1.9

2022

12

NYG

20 - 28

DAL

0.435

0.565

8.7

2022

11

DAL

40 - 3

MIN

0.429

0.571

3.5

2022

10

DAL

28 - 31

GB

0.597

0.403

0.0

2022

8

CHI

29 - 49

DAL

0.482

0.518

7.1

2022

7

DET

6 - 24

DAL

0.439

0.561

1.7

2022

6

DAL

17 - 26

PHI

0.594

0.406

14.0

2022

5

DAL

22 - 10

LAR

0.32

0.68

0.0

2022

4

WSH

10 - 25

DAL

0.482

0.518

1.7

2022

3

DAL

23 - 16

NYG

0.508

0.492

3.3

2022

2

CIN

17 - 20

DAL

0.534

0.466

0.0

2022

1

TB

19 - 3

DAL

0.7

0.3

0.0