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Dalton Kincaid

Pos: TE1 Team: BUF YoE: 3
Draft: RD 1, PICK 25
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Kincaid failed to clear 13.1 fantasy points in a single game last season, which is pretty hard to believe when you consider he handled a 20.3% target share (5.8 per game) in a Josh Allen-led offense that averaged 3.6 touchdowns per game (the highest ever by an Allen offense). Kincaid got seven-plus targets in six of 13 regular-season games, but never cleared 53 yards in a single outing and found the end zone only twice. He finished 15th at tight end in targets despite four missed games, but was 26th in catches and 28th in yards thanks to an ugly 59% catch rate and 6.0 YPT. Kincaid's pedigree (2023 first-rounder), heavy usage and the strong Buffalo offense provide hope for a Year 3 leap, but he's risky after such an underwhelming 2024. Consider him a fringe TE1."


"After missing Week 17 with a knee injury, Kincaid was able to log some reps even while the Bills rested most of their other key contributors in the regular-season finale. With the team's lack of a true No. 1 wide receiver, Kincaid could be called upon to play a pivotal role in the passing game during the playoffs if Buffalo is going to make a postseason run. Kincaid posted a pair of 100-yard receiving games during his 12 appearances in the regular season but was also held under 50 yards nine times."

Dalton Kincaid's receiving yards have decreased by 53.42% over the past 6 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's target share has decreased by 30.34% over the past 8 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's targets have decreased by 23.53% over the past 8 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's receptions have decreased by 35.71% over the past 8 weeks.

Dalton Kincaid's receiving touchdowns have decreased by 50.0% over the past 8 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



FantasyPassingReceivingRushingMisc

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

18

NYJ

8 - 35

BUF

0.403

0.597

7.8

2025

16

BUF

23 - 20

CLE

0.396

0.604

0.0

2025

15

BUF

35 - 31

NE

0.431

0.569

6.4

2025

14

CIN

34 - 39

BUF

0.491

0.509

14.1

2025

10

BUF

13 - 30

MIA

0.645

0.355

5.7

2025

9

KC

21 - 28

BUF

0.426

0.574

22.1

2025

8

BUF

40 - 9

CAR

0.397

0.603

3.3

2025

5

NE

23 - 20

BUF

0.517

0.483

16.8

2025

4

NO

19 - 31

BUF

0.407

0.593

9.8

2025

3

MIA

21 - 31

BUF

0.509

0.491

17.6

2025

2

BUF

30 - 10

NYJ

0.386

0.614

7.7

2025

1

BAL

40 - 41

BUF

0.597

0.403

14.8

2024

17

NYJ

14 - 40

BUF

0.452

0.548

4.4

2024

16

NE

21 - 24

BUF

0.509

0.491

5.5

2024

15

BUF

48 - 42

DET

0.5

0.5

9.3

2024

10

BUF

30 - 20

IND

0.544

0.456

4.4

2024

9

MIA

27 - 30

BUF

0.672

0.328

7.2

2024

8

BUF

31 - 10

SEA

0.5

0.5

13.1

2024

7

TEN

10 - 34

BUF

0.623

0.377

8.2

2024

6

BUF

23 - 20

NYJ

0.431

0.569

11.1

2024

5

BUF

20 - 23

HOU

0.517

0.483

5.4

2024

4

BUF

10 - 35

BAL

0.574

0.426

9.7

2024

3

JAX

10 - 47

BUF

0.517

0.483

13.1

2024

2

BUF

31 - 10

MIA

0.422

0.578

7.3

2024

1

ARI

28 - 34

BUF

0.411

0.589

2.1

2023

18

BUF

21 - 14

MIA

0.514

0.486

15.4

2023

17

NE

21 - 27

BUF

0.448

0.552

12.7

2023

16

BUF

24 - 22

LAC

0.412

0.588

1.7

2023

15

DAL

10 - 31

BUF

0.234

0.766

0.0

2023

14

BUF

20 - 17

KC

0.6

0.4

7.1

2023

12

BUF

34 - 37

PHI

0.56

0.44

8.8

2023

11

NYJ

6 - 32

BUF

0.457

0.543

10.6

2023

10

DEN

24 - 22

BUF

0.5

0.5

16.1

2023

9

BUF

18 - 24

CIN

0.704

0.296

16.1

2023

8

TB

18 - 24

BUF

0.606

0.394

17.5

2023

7

BUF

25 - 29

NE

0.631

0.369

15.5

2023

5

JAX

25 - 20

BUF

0.741

0.259

3.9

2023

4

MIA

20 - 48

BUF

0.463

0.537

6.7

2023

3

BUF

37 - 3

WSH

0.492

0.508

2.3

2023

2

LV

10 - 38

BUF

0.514

0.486

9.3

2023

1

BUF

16 - 22

NYJ

0.651

0.349

6.6

make your own luck.
nfl-prophet.com © Joseph Poirier, 2024

DK Metcalf

Pos: WR1 Team: PIT YoE: 7
Draft: RD 2, PICK 64
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Metcalf was traded to Pittsburgh after spending his first six NFL seasons in Seattle. Metcalf has proven durable (he's missed three games in his career), but he hasn't quite lived up to lofty expectations. Despite leading the NFL (by 10) with 96 end zone targets since entering the league, Metcalf has finished one season in the top 20 among WRs in fantasy PPG (10th in 2020), though he has finished top 25 in four of his past five seasons. His vertical role has limited his catch total and his scoring has underwhelmed lately, as well (6.3 TDs per season since 2022). With minimal mouths to feed in Pittsburgh, Metcalf is assured of a big target share courtesy of Aaron Rodgers and has the look of a fringe WR2."


"Metcalf was handed the suspension for "conduct detrimental to the NFL," after he was involved in an altercation with a fan in Detroit on Sunday. Now that the two-game ban has been upheld, the wide receiver will miss the team's final two games of the regular season, and as a result, $45 million in guaranteed money on his four-year contract has now been voided. In Metcalf's absence for Week 17 in Cleveland and Week 18 against Baltimore, receivers Calvin Austin (hamstring), Adam Thielen and Marquez Valdes-Scantling could all be in line for increased snap counts and target shares. Running back Kenneth Gainwell could also continue to see heavy involvement in the passing game after drawing seven targets in each of the past three contests."

DK Metcalf's receiving yards have decreased by 65.11% over the past 8 weeks.

DK Metcalf's target share has increased by 64.52% over the past 6 weeks.

DK Metcalf's targets have increased by 76.92% over the past 6 weeks.

DK Metcalf's receiving touchdowns have decreased by 75.0+% over the past 10 weeks.

DK Metcalf's receiving yards per attempt has decreased by 75.0+% over the past 8 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



FantasyPassingReceivingRushingMisc

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

16

PIT

29 - 24

DET

0.603

0.397

8.2

2025

15

MIA

15 - 28

PIT

0.458

0.542

14.5

2025

14

PIT

27 - 22

BAL

0.667

0.333

21.8

2025

13

BUF

26 - 7

PIT

0.571

0.429

6.2

2025

12

PIT

28 - 31

CHI

0.463

0.537

14.4

2025

11

CIN

12 - 34

PIT

0.525

0.475

9.9

2025

10

PIT

10 - 25

LAC

0.66

0.34

6.5

2025

9

IND

20 - 27

PIT

0.603

0.397

2.6

2025

8

GB

35 - 25

PIT

0.667

0.333

16.5

2025

7

PIT

10 - 0

CIN

0.609

0.391

6.5

2025

6

CLE

9 - 23

PIT

0.517

0.483

19.5

2025

4

MIN

21 - 24

PIT

0.431

0.569

23.6

2025

3

PIT

21 - 14

NE

0.469

0.531

12.2

2025

2

SEA

31 - 17

PIT

0.625

0.375

11.0

2025

1

PIT

34 - 32

NYJ

0.6

0.4

12.3

2024

18

SEA

30 - 25

LAR

0.529

0.471

14.3

2024

17

SEA

6 - 3

CHI

0.479

0.521

7.2

2024

16

MIN

27 - 24

SEA

0.741

0.259

14.7

2024

15

GB

30 - 13

SEA

0.673

0.327

5.8

2024

14

SEA

30 - 18

ARI

0.492

0.508

8.9

2024

13

SEA

26 - 21

NYJ

0.574

0.426

10.6

2024

12

ARI

6 - 16

SEA

0.554

0.446

9.9

2024

11

SEA

20 - 17

SF

0.582

0.418

14.0

2024

7

SEA

34 - 14

ATL

0.527

0.473

19.9

2024

6

SF

36 - 24

SEA

0.722

0.278

7.8

2024

5

NYG

29 - 20

SEA

0.784

0.216

7.5

2024

4

SEA

29 - 42

DET

0.747

0.253

15.4

2024

3

MIA

3 - 24

SEA

0.596

0.404

20.4

2024

2

SEA

23 - 20

NE

0.698

0.302

28.9

2024

1

DEN

20 - 26

SEA

0.431

0.569

5.9

2023

18

SEA

21 - 20

ARI

0.528

0.472

2.0

2023

17

PIT

30 - 23

SEA

0.688

0.312

15.6

2023

16

SEA

20 - 17

TEN

0.643

0.357

15.6

2023

15

PHI

17 - 20

SEA

0.579

0.421

12.8

2023

14

SEA

16 - 28

SF

0.608

0.392

13.2

2023

13

SEA

35 - 41

DAL

0.651

0.349

37.4

2023

12

SF

31 - 13

SEA

0.562

0.438

6.2

2023

11

SEA

16 - 17

LAR

0.656

0.344

20.4

2023

10

WSH

26 - 29

SEA

0.644

0.356

16.8

2023

9

SEA

3 - 37

BAL

0.651

0.349

6.0

2023

8

CLE

20 - 24

SEA

0.685

0.315

11.7

2023

6

SEA

13 - 17

CIN

0.621

0.379

10.9

2023

4

SEA

24 - 3

NYG

0.531

0.469

12.4

2023

3

CAR

27 - 37

SEA

0.522

0.478

17.2

2023

2

SEA

37 - 31

DET

0.621

0.379

13.5

2023

1

LAR

30 - 13

SEA

0.591

0.409

13.7

2022

18

LAR

16 - 19

SEA

0.463

0.537

7.0

2022

17

NYJ

6 - 23

SEA

0.433

0.567

1.3

2022

16

SEA

10 - 24

KC

0.563

0.437

15.1

2022

15

SF

21 - 13

SEA

0.759

0.241

12.5

2022

14

CAR

30 - 24

SEA

0.72

0.28

18.1

2022

13

SEA

27 - 23

LAR

0.639

0.361

26.7

2022

12

LV

40 - 34

SEA

0.617

0.383

20.0

2022

10

SEA

16 - 21

TB

0.702

0.298

13.1

2022

9

SEA

31 - 21

ARI

0.5

0.5

14.7

2022

8

NYG

13 - 27

SEA

0.576

0.424

17.5

2022

7

SEA

37 - 23

LAC

0.443

0.557

2.2

2022

6

ARI

9 - 19

SEA

0.508

0.492

5.4

2022

5

SEA

32 - 39

NO

0.543

0.457

17.8

2022

4

SEA

48 - 45

DET

0.476

0.524

21.9

2022

3

ATL

27 - 23

SEA

0.657

0.343

17.4

2022

2

SEA

7 - 27

SF

0.689

0.311

7.5

2022

1

DEN

16 - 17

SEA

0.596

0.404

8.6

2021

18

SEA

38 - 30

ARI

0.464

0.536

10.8

2021

17

DET

29 - 51

SEA

0.414

0.586

30.9

2021

16

CHI

25 - 24

SEA

0.529

0.471

12.1

2021

15

SEA

10 - 20

LAR

0.62

0.38

11.2

2021

14

SEA

33 - 13

HOU

0.491

0.509

8.3

2021

13

SF

23 - 30

SEA

0.578

0.422

11.0

2021

12

SEA

15 - 17

WSH

0.721

0.279

2.3

2021

11

ARI

23 - 13

SEA

0.578

0.422

7.1

2021

10

SEA

0 - 17

GB

0.714

0.286

5.6

2021

8

JAX

7 - 31

SEA

0.49

0.51

22.3

2021

7

NO

13 - 10

SEA

0.44

0.56

17.6

2021

6

SEA

20 - 23

PIT

0.542

0.458

11.8

2021

5

LAR

26 - 17

SEA

0.569

0.431

26.8

2021

4

SEA

28 - 21

SF

0.451

0.549

16.5

2021

3

SEA

17 - 30

MIN

0.64

0.36

22.7

2021

2

TEN

33 - 30

SEA

0.633

0.367

11.3

2021

1

SEA

28 - 16

IND

0.46

0.54

16.0

make your own luck.
nfl-prophet.com © Joseph Poirier, 2024