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Fantasy Projections

II. Historical Performance

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

10

BUF

13 - 30

MIA

0.645

0.355

13.6

2025

9

KC

21 - 28

BUF

0.426

0.574

3.7

2025

8

BUF

40 - 9

CAR

0.397

0.603

6.0

2025

6

BUF

14 - 24

ATL

0.52

0.48

4.1

2025

5

NE

23 - 20

BUF

0.517

0.483

10.3

2025

4

NO

19 - 31

BUF

0.407

0.593

7.5

2025

3

MIA

21 - 31

BUF

0.509

0.491

5.0

2025

2

BUF

30 - 10

NYJ

0.386

0.614

5.6

2025

1

BAL

40 - 41

BUF

0.597

0.403

25.2

2024

18

BUF

16 - 23

NE

0.492

0.508

6.0

2024

17

NYJ

14 - 40

BUF

0.452

0.548

11.7

2024

16

NE

21 - 24

BUF

0.509

0.491

2.7

2024

15

BUF

48 - 42

DET

0.5

0.5

7.4

2024

9

MIA

27 - 30

BUF

0.672

0.328

3.1

2024

8

BUF

31 - 10

SEA

0.5

0.5

18.0

2024

7

TEN

10 - 34

BUF

0.623

0.377

16.5

2024

6

BUF

23 - 20

NYJ

0.431

0.569

5.6

2024

5

BUF

20 - 23

HOU

0.517

0.483

11.9

2024

4

BUF

10 - 35

BAL

0.574

0.426

8.1

2024

3

JAX

10 - 47

BUF

0.517

0.483

9.4

2024

2

BUF

31 - 10

MIA

0.422

0.578

0.0

2024

1

ARI

28 - 34

BUF

0.411

0.589

9.1

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I. Player News & Analysis

ESPN

RotoWire

Trends

"Henry was �as advertised� in his first season with Baltimore, pacing all running backs in rushing TDs (16) and finishing no lower than fourth in carries, rushing yards, carries inside the 5 and fantasy points. Henry has now finished top 10 among RBs in rushing yards and TDs each of the last seven seasons, though he remains limited as a receiver (51st among RBs in targets last season). Henry is now 31 years old (ancient for a fantasy-relevant RB), but doesn't seem to have lost a step (top 3 in YPC and YAC last season). Henry's lack of targets limits his ceiling a bit, but his elite rushing output locks him in as a back-end RB1."

"Henry averaged a modest 3.0 yards per carry but powered in his eighth and ninth rushing touchdowns of the season on a pair of two-yard runs in the third quarter. He has recorded at least 20 touches in six consecutive games heading into Thursday night's home game against the league-worst Bengals run defense."

	Derrick Henry's targets have increased by 50.0% over the past 6 weeks.
	Derrick Henry's rushing yards per attempt has increased by 47.56% over the past 6 weeks.
	Derrick Henry's rushing touchdowns have decreased by 66.67% over the past 6 weeks.
	Derrick Henry's rushing yards have increased by 48.99% over the past 8 weeks.
	Derrick Henry's rushing attempts have increased by 59.37% over the past 10 weeks.

II. Historical Performance

Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

12

NYJ

10 - 23

BAL

0.404

0.596

22.8

2025

11

BAL

23 - 16

CLE

0.455

0.545

20.2

2025

10

BAL

27 - 19

MIN

0.446

0.554

11.4

2025

9

BAL

28 - 6

MIA

0.426

0.574

13.1

2025

8

CHI

16 - 30

BAL

0.386

0.614

19.1

2025

6

LAR

17 - 3

BAL

0.479

0.521

14.0

2025

5

HOU

44 - 10

BAL

0.513

0.487

9.3

2025

4

BAL

20 - 37

KC

0.66

0.34

7.8

2025

3

DET

38 - 30

BAL

0.596

0.404

10.7

2025

2

CLE

17 - 41

BAL

0.58

0.42

2.3

2025

1

BAL

40 - 41

BUF

0.396

0.604

29.2

2024

18

CLE

10 - 35

BAL

0.478

0.522

30.1

2024

17

BAL

31 - 2

HOU

0.283

0.717

24.5

2024

16

PIT

17 - 34

BAL

0.377

0.623

20.9

2024

15

BAL

35 - 14

NYG

0.446

0.554

6.7

2024

13

PHI

24 - 19

BAL

0.529

0.471

14.1

2024

12

BAL

30 - 23

LAC

0.373

0.627

14.0

2024

11

BAL

16 - 18

PIT

0.635

0.365

10.5

2024

10

CIN

34 - 35

BAL

0.569

0.431

14.1

2024

9

DEN

10 - 41

BAL

0.358

0.642

26.3

2024

8

BAL

24 - 29

CLE

0.644

0.356

14.7

2024

7

BAL

41 - 31

TB

0.423

0.577

25.2

2024

6

WSH

23 - 30

BAL

0.413

0.587

25.2

2024

5

BAL

41 - 38

CIN

0.553

0.447

16.6

2024

4

BUF

10 - 35

BAL

0.358

0.642

35.9

2024

3

BAL

28 - 25

DAL

0.25

0.75

30.4

2024

2

LV

26 - 23

BAL

0.557

0.443

16.6

2024

1

BAL

20 - 27

KC

0.562

0.438

10.6

2023

18

JAX

20 - 28

TEN

0.509

0.491

21.3

2023

17

TEN

3 - 26

HOU

0.553

0.447

4.2

2023

16

SEA

20 - 17

TEN

0.466

0.534

21.38

2023

15

HOU

19 - 16

TEN

0.464

0.536

5.0

2023

14

TEN

28 - 27

MIA

0.567

0.433

18.1

2023

13

IND

31 - 28

TEN

0.44

0.56

25.0

2023

12

CAR

10 - 17

TEN

0.538

0.462

20.6

2023

11

TEN

14 - 34

JAX

0.472

0.528

5.4

2023

10

TEN

6 - 20

TB

0.709

0.291

3.0

2023

9

TEN

16 - 20

PIT

0.609

0.391

19.2

2023

8

ATL

23 - 28

TEN

0.446

0.554

16.2

2023

6

BAL

24 - 16

TEN

0.525

0.475

19.3

2023

5

TEN

16 - 23

IND

0.614

0.386

9.2

2023

4

CIN

3 - 27

TEN

0.441

0.559

24.38

2023

3

TEN

3 - 27

CLE

0.625

0.375

2.0

2023

2

LAC

24 - 27

TEN

0.414

0.586

18.5

2023

1

TEN

15 - 16

NO

0.607

0.393

13.9

2022

18

TEN

16 - 20

JAX

0.426

0.574

13.8

2022

16

HOU

19 - 14

TEN

0.426

0.574

18.6

2022

15

TEN

14 - 17

LAC

0.491

0.509

26.3

2022

14

JAX

36 - 22

TEN

0.655

0.345

20.5

2022

13

TEN

10 - 35

PHI

0.553

0.447

5.8

2022

12

CIN

20 - 16

TEN

0.618

0.382

14.7

2022

11

TEN

27 - 17

GB

0.475

0.525

25.36

2022

10

DEN

10 - 17

TEN

0.61

0.39

8.7

2022

9

TEN

17 - 20

KC

0.356

0.644

23.5

2022

8

TEN

17 - 10

HOU

0.182

0.818

35.8

2022

7

IND

10 - 19

TEN

0.364

0.636

16.8

2022

5

TEN

21 - 17

WSH

0.439

0.561

27.2

2022

4

TEN

24 - 17

IND

0.429

0.571

23.7

2022

3

LV

22 - 24

TEN

0.5

0.5

25.3

2022

2

TEN

7 - 41

BUF

0.471

0.529

8.5

2022

1

NYG

21 - 20

TEN

0.559

0.441

8.2

2021

8

TEN

34 - 31

IND

0.523

0.477

6.8

2021

7

KC

3 - 27

TEN

0.444

0.556

16.4

2021

6

BUF

31 - 34

TEN

0.569

0.431

35.6

2021

5

TEN

37 - 19

JAX

0.379

0.621

31.0

2021

4

TEN

24 - 27

NYJ

0.57

0.43

25.7

2021

3

IND

16 - 25

TEN

0.422

0.578

17.4

2021

2

TEN

33 - 30

SEA

0.5

0.5

47.7

2021

1

ARI

38 - 13

TEN

0.621

0.379

10.7