NFL Prophet
NFL Prophet About >> Weekly Predictions >> Playoff Odds >> Fantasy Projections >> Previous Matchups

Mike Evans

Pos: WR1 Team: TB YoE: 12
Draft: RD 1, PICK 7
Injury Status: H



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Evans is back for his age-32 campaign having now put up 1,000-plus receiving yards in 11 straight seasons to begin his career. The future Hall of Famer missed three games in 2024, but still scored double-digit touchdowns for the fourth time in five seasons. Incredibly, Evans has never finished a season worse than 23rd in fantasy points (26th in PPG). Age aside, there are some concerns here, as Evans was very boom/bust in 2024, having posted six top-10 fantasy outings (second most), while also falling short of 12 points in seven of his other eight games. He also benefited massively from Chris Godwin's season-ending injury, averaging 6.3 targets and 13.6 fantasy PPG with him, but 9.1 targets and 20.7 PPG without. Despite the concerns, Evans hasn't shown signs of slowing down and has a good QB in Baker Mayfield. He's a fringe fantasy WR2."


"Evans contributed 21- and 13-yard gains on his pair of catches, but the Panthers did a good job overall on limiting receiver production, which opened up plenty of opportunity for tight end Cade Otton. It was a quiet finish to an injury-shortened season for Evans, who appeared in a career-low eight games and posted a 30-368-3 line on 62 targets. The talented veteran will look to continue his season in next weekend's wild-card round, which will be made possible if the Saints tie or defeat the Falcons on Sunday."

Mike Evans' receiving yards have increased by 117.98% over the past 6 weeks.

Mike Evans' target share has increased by 33.02% over the past 6 weeks.

Mike Evans' receptions have increased by 55.56% over the past 6 weeks.

Mike Evans' targets have increased by 21.74% over the past 6 weeks.

Mike Evans' receiving touchdowns have increased by 100.0% over the past 6 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

18

CAR

14 - 16

TB

0.344

0.656

5.4

2025

17

TB

17 - 20

MIA

0.733

0.267

12.1

2025

16

TB

20 - 23

CAR

0.441

0.559

14.1

2025

15

ATL

29 - 28

TB

0.607

0.393

19.2

2025

7

TB

9 - 24

DET

0.806

0.194

0.0

2025

3

NYJ

27 - 29

TB

0.46

0.54

13.3

2025

2

TB

20 - 19

HOU

0.559

0.441

10.6

2025

1

TB

23 - 20

ATL

0.582

0.418

10.1

2024

18

NO

19 - 27

TB

0.508

0.492

17.9

2024

17

CAR

14 - 48

TB

0.444

0.556

29.7

2024

16

TB

24 - 26

DAL

0.652

0.348

11.9

2024

15

TB

40 - 17

LAC

0.409

0.591

36.9

2024

14

LV

13 - 28

TB

0.527

0.473

10.9

2024

13

TB

26 - 23

CAR

0.466

0.534

25.8

2024

12

TB

30 - 7

NYG

0.484

0.516

11.8

2024

7

BAL

41 - 31

TB

0.6

0.4

9.5

2024

6

TB

51 - 27

NO

0.507

0.493

5.4

2024

5

TB

30 - 36

ATL

0.48

0.52

23.2

2024

4

PHI

16 - 33

TB

0.653

0.347

23.4

2024

3

DEN

26 - 7

TB

0.673

0.327

3.7

2024

2

TB

20 - 16

DET

0.452

0.548

7.2

2024

1

WSH

20 - 37

TB

0.5

0.5

23.1

2023

18

TB

9 - 0

CAR

0.525

0.475

5.2

2023

17

NO

23 - 13

TB

0.688

0.312

10.0

2023

16

JAX

12 - 30

TB

0.493

0.507

27.6

2023

15

TB

34 - 20

GB

0.509

0.491

15.7

2023

14

TB

29 - 25

ATL

0.439

0.561

1.8

2023

13

CAR

18 - 21

TB

0.509

0.491

29.2

2023

12

TB

20 - 27

IND

0.62

0.38

25.0

2023

11

TB

14 - 27

SF

0.714

0.286

15.3

2023

10

TEN

6 - 20

TB

0.5

0.5

26.3

2023

9

TB

37 - 39

HOU

0.492

0.508

12.7

2023

8

TB

18 - 24

BUF

0.712

0.288

12.9

2023

7

ATL

16 - 13

TB

0.677

0.323

20.2

2023

6

DET

20 - 6

TB

0.698

0.302

8.9

2023

4

TB

26 - 9

NO

0.5

0.5

7.0

2023

3

PHI

25 - 11

TB

0.595

0.405

17.0

2023

2

CHI

17 - 27

TB

0.5

0.5

29.1

2023

1

TB

20 - 17

MIN

0.507

0.493

18.6

2022

17

CAR

24 - 30

TB

0.643

0.357

48.7

2022

16

TB

19 - 16

ARI

0.615

0.385

5.9

2022

15

CIN

34 - 23

TB

0.638

0.362

13.3

2022

14

TB

7 - 35

SF

0.743

0.257

8.4

2022

13

NO

16 - 17

TB

0.73

0.27

9.9

2022

12

TB

17 - 23

CLE

0.683

0.317

5.1

2022

10

SEA

16 - 21

TB

0.405

0.595

10.4

2022

9

LAR

13 - 16

TB

0.744

0.256

9.0

2022

8

BAL

27 - 22

TB

0.746

0.254

18.3

2022

7

TB

3 - 21

CAR

0.754

0.246

18.6

2022

6

TB

18 - 20

PIT

0.606

0.394

8.2

2022

5

ATL

15 - 21

TB

0.693

0.307

12.1

2022

4

KC

41 - 31

TB

0.897

0.103

30.3

2022

2

TB

20 - 10

NO

0.531

0.469

9.1

2022

1

TB

19 - 3

DAL

0.45

0.55

18.1

2021

18

CAR

17 - 41

TB

0.661

0.339

26.9

2021

17

TB

28 - 24

NYJ

0.704

0.296

14.7

2021

15

NO

9 - 0

TB

0.696

0.304

2.4

2021

14

BUF

27 - 33

TB

0.613

0.387

21.1

2021

13

TB

30 - 17

ATL

0.75

0.25

16.9

2021

12

TB

38 - 31

IND

0.557

0.443

4.6

2021

11

NYG

10 - 30

TB

0.64

0.36

20.3

2021

10

TB

19 - 29

WSH

0.723

0.277

14.2

2021

8

TB

27 - 36

NO

0.745

0.255

12.8

2021

7

CHI

3 - 38

TB

0.557

0.443

31.6

2021

6

TB

28 - 22

PHI

0.575

0.425

4.7

2021

5

MIA

17 - 45

TB

0.638

0.362

29.3

2021

4

TB

19 - 17

NE

0.589

0.411

14.5

2021

3

TB

24 - 34

LAR

0.809

0.191

18.6

2021

2

ATL

25 - 48

TB

0.632

0.368

24.5

2021

1

DAL

29 - 31

TB

0.781

0.219

5.4

undefined

Pos: TE5 Team: undefined YoE: undefined
Draft: RD undefined, PICK undefined
Injury Status: undefined Return Date: undefined



I. Player News & Analysis


ESPN

RotoWire

Trends


"Ertz returns to Washington for his 13th NFL season after a very successful debut campaign with the team. One season after being waived by Arizona and failing to find his way to another 53-man roster, Ertz won the Commanders' starting TE gig and ended up in the top 12 at the position in routes, targets, catches, yards, TDs and fantasy points. His 10 end zone targets ranked second at the position. Ertz is now 34 years old and has added competition for targets with Deebo Samuel Sr. in town and Ben Sinnott entering Year 2, so a step back in production is probable, but he'll continue to benefit from playing a role in a Jayden Daniels-led offense. Ertz is best viewed as a low-ceiling TE2."


"Ertz will officially miss the remainder of the 2025 season after suffering an ACL tear during Washington's 31-0 loss to the Vikings in Week 14. In his stead, reps at the tight end position are slated to be split between John Bates, Ben Sinnott and Colson Yankoff. Ertz is slated to become an unrestricted free agent this offseason. The 35-year-old tight end racked up 50 catches for 504 yards and four touchdowns (72 targets) across 13 regular-season appearances in 2025."

Zach Ertz's target share has increased by 37.74% over the past 8 weeks.

Zach Ertz's receiving yards have increased by 47.92% over the past 6 weeks.

Zach Ertz's targets have increased by 36.36% over the past 10 weeks.

Zach Ertz's receiving touchdowns have decreased by 75.0% over the past 18 weeks.

Zach Ertz's receptions have increased by 45.45% over the past 8 weeks.


II. Historical Performance



Season

Week

Home

Score

Away

PASS%

RUSH%

FPTS

2025

14

WSH

0 - 31

MIN

0.511

0.489

2.1

2025

13

DEN

27 - 26

WSH

0.602

0.398

20.6

2025

11

WSH

13 - 16

MIA

0.476

0.524

8.2

2025

10

DET

44 - 22

WSH

0.449

0.551

9.4

2025

9

SEA

38 - 14

WSH

0.379

0.621

8.6

2025

8

WSH

7 - 28

KC

0.6

0.4

5.6

2025

7

WSH

22 - 44

DAL

0.533

0.467

12.7

2025

6

CHI

25 - 24

WSH

0.456

0.544

16.3

2025

5

WSH

27 - 10

LAC

0.481

0.519

0.0

2025

4

WSH

27 - 34

ATL

0.551

0.449

4.1

2025

3

LV

24 - 41

WSH

0.396

0.604

6.8

2025

2

WSH

18 - 27

GB

0.689

0.311

18.4

2025

1

NYG

6 - 21

WSH

0.484

0.516

11.6

2024

18

WSH

23 - 19

DAL

0.633

0.367

15.4

2024

17

ATL

24 - 30

WSH

0.5

0.5

25.2

2024

16

PHI

33 - 36

WSH

0.619

0.381

2.2

2024

15

WSH

20 - 19

NO

0.47

0.53

4.5

2024

13

TEN

19 - 42

WSH

0.4

0.6

12.5

2024

12

DAL

34 - 26

WSH

0.603

0.397

15.8

2024

11

WSH

18 - 26

PHI

0.533

0.467

16.7

2024

10

PIT

28 - 27

WSH

0.607

0.393

7.1

2024

9

WSH

27 - 22

NYG

0.367

0.633

1.5

2024

8

CHI

15 - 18

WSH

0.543

0.457

14.7

2024

7

CAR

7 - 40

WSH

0.403

0.597

14.0

2024

6

WSH

23 - 30

BAL

0.66

0.34

10.8

2024

5

CLE

13 - 34

WSH

0.452

0.548

3.0

2024

4

WSH

42 - 14

ARI

0.448

0.552

5.2

2024

3

WSH

38 - 33

CIN

0.418

0.582

8.8

2024

2

NYG

18 - 21

WSH

0.453

0.547

10.2

2024

1

WSH

20 - 37

TB

0.444

0.556

5.8

2023

7

ARI

10 - 20

SEA

0.576

0.424

4.9

2023

6

ARI

9 - 26

LAR

0.577

0.423

4.2

2023

5

CIN

34 - 20

ARI

0.593

0.407

9.0

2023

4

ARI

16 - 35

SF

0.621

0.379

11.3

2023

3

DAL

16 - 28

ARI

0.412

0.588

2.6

2023

2

NYG

31 - 28

ARI

0.517

0.483

11.6

2023

1

ARI

16 - 20

WSH

0.545

0.455

8.1

2022

10

ARI

27 - 17

LAR

0.587

0.413

2.2

2022

9

SEA

31 - 21

ARI

0.625

0.375

15.0

2022

8

ARI

26 - 34

MIN

0.667

0.333

13.4

2022

7

NO

34 - 42

ARI

0.5

0.5

4.1

2022

6

ARI

9 - 19

SEA

0.569

0.431

14.0

2022

5

PHI

20 - 17

ARI

0.618

0.382

10.8

2022

4

ARI

26 - 16

CAR

0.464

0.536

16.7

2022

3

LAR

20 - 12

ARI

0.734

0.266

10.5

2022

2

ARI

29 - 23

LV

0.636

0.364

15.5

2022

1

KC

44 - 21

ARI

0.633

0.367

9.4

2021

18

SEA

38 - 30

ARI

0.582

0.418

15.4

2021

17

ARI

25 - 22

DAL

0.549

0.451

11.1

2021

16

IND

22 - 16

ARI

0.672

0.328

13.4

2021

15

ARI

12 - 30

DET

0.704

0.296

13.4

2021

14

LAR

30 - 23

ARI

0.69

0.31

9.2

2021

13

ARI

33 - 22

CHI

0.3

0.7

2.0

2021

11

ARI

23 - 13

SEA

0.571

0.429

28.8

2021

10

CAR

34 - 10

ARI

0.592

0.408

8.6

2021

9

ARI

31 - 17

SF

0.409

0.591

5.7

2021

8

GB

24 - 21

ARI

0.623

0.377

8.2

2021

7

HOU

5 - 31

ARI

0.431

0.569

16.0

2021

6

TB

28 - 22

PHI

0.578

0.422

12.9

2021

5

PHI

21 - 18

CAR

0.627

0.373

1.7

2021

4

KC

42 - 30

PHI

0.716

0.284

12.0

2021

3

PHI

21 - 41

DAL

0.765

0.235

15.3

2021

2

SF

17 - 11

PHI

0.453

0.547

1.6

2021

1

PHI

32 - 6

ATL

0.53

0.47

5.4